Table 2.

Absolute numbers of cancer cases and deaths expected in a hypothetical cohort of 100,000 persons after 5 years of follow-up, assuming a stage shift whereby all stage IV cancers had outcome similar to stage III, based on incidence and cancer-specific mortality rates for persons ages 50–79 years from SEER18, 2006–2015.

Cancer diagnoses in first yearDeaths after 5 yearsDeaths after hypothetical stage shiftAbsolute deaths avertedProportion deaths averteda
All cancers1,078336285510.15
Selected cancers
 Non-Hodgkin lymphoma4410910.09
 Oral cavity and pharynx298620.22
  • aEstimated deaths shown rounded up to nearest integer, while proportion based on division of estimates with two decimal places.