Table 5.

Estimated cumulative transition rates from various ages to age 80 in % from carriage of advanced adenoma to carriage of CRC and from carriage of nonadvanced adenoma to carriage of CRC

TransitionAge interval (y)Men (y)Women (y)
Advanced adenoma to colorectal cancer55–8063.663.3
60–8058.558.3
65–8051.452.3
70–8041.142.0
75–8023.425.0
Nonadvanced adenoma to colorectal cancer55–8029.328.8
60–8021.821.6
65–8014.415.0
70–807.38.4
75–801.81.9

NOTE: Base case analyses based on data from the German national screening colonoscopy registry, 2003–2010.