Table 4.

Sensitivity analyses: estimates of annual transition rates (%) by sex and age under various assumptions for the mean CRC sojourn time and the proportion of cancers developing from adenomas

Mean sojourn time, (y)Proportion of cancers developing from adenomas
TransitionSexAge, y3.64.76.70.70.851.0
Advanced adenoma to CRCMen55–593.02.62.22.22.63.1
60–643.63.12.52.53.13.6
65–694.43.83.23.13.84.5
70–746.05.14.34.25.16.1
75–796.25.24.24.35.26.1
Women55–592.82.52.12.02.52.9
60–643.22.72.22.22.73.2
65–694.43.83.23.13.84.4
70–745.75.04.24.15.05.8
75–796.65.64.64.65.66.6
Nonadvanced to advanced adenomaMen55–594.34.24.04.04.24.4
60–644.34.03.83.84.04.3
65–694.24.03.73.64.04.3
70–744.54.13.73.74.14.6
75–794.33.73.23.23.74.2
Women55–594.24.03.93.94.04.2
60–643.83.63.43.43.63.8
65–693.93.73.43.43.73.9
70–745.14.74.44.34.75.1
75–794.33.73.23.33.74.3

German national screening colonoscopy registry, 2003–2010.