Table 1.

Transition probabilities for different health states

Gleason scoreNo evidence of disease to biochemical recurrence, y (8)
Biochemical recurrence to metastatic disease, y (9)
Metastatic disease to prostate cancer death, y (9)
51015510510
8-100.250.430.500.6250.81250.500.875
70.210.350.420.250.50.500.875
60.150.250.310.250.50.500.875
2-50.120.200.230.250.50.500.875