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Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Athens Medical School, Greece [A. T., P. L., D. T.], and Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts 02115 [P. L., H. K., D. T.]
| Abstract |
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15% of the incidence of breast
cancer, and
10% of the incidence of prostate, pancreas, and
endometrial cancer could be prevented if the populations of highly
developed Western countries could shift to the traditional healthy
Mediterranean diet. | Introduction |
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In the fourth section, the differences in availability of particular food groups, between Mediterranean countries on the one hand and Scandinavian countries, United Kingdom and the United States on the other, will be identified, using data from the FAO2 of the United Nations food balance sheets and cross-checked with data from household budget surveys (4, 5, 6) . In the fifth section, relative risk estimates will be assigned to associations of particular cancer sites with specified intake increments of certain food groups that are thought to be linked to the corresponding cancer sites (7) . Lastly, in the sixth section, an attempt will be made to estimate the fraction of the incidence of some cancer types in northern European and North American countries that could be avoided by adherence to the principles of the Mediterranean diet, taking into account, in a crude way, misclassification issues.
A note of caution is required. For many Mediterranean countries, particularly North African ones, existing data are limited or of questionable accuracy, and this hinders their utilization.
| The Mediterranean Diet |
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Different countries and regions in the Mediterranean basin have their
own dietary traditions, but in all of them olive oil occupies a central
position. From a health point of view, olive oil is important, not only
because it has in itself beneficial properties (10
, 11)
,
but also because it facilitates the consumption of large quantities of
vegetables and legumes in the form of raw salads and cooked foods.
Without the presumption of a scientific definition, the Mediterranean
diet could be considered as the dietary pattern found in the olive
oil-growing areas of the Mediterranean region in the late 1950s and
early 1960 s, before the invasion of the fast food culture in the
area. Beyond olives and olive oil, the Mediterranean diet is also
characterized by the consumption of wheat, grapes, and their derivative
products. Total lipid intake may be high,
40% of total energy
intake as in Greece, or moderate,
30% of total energy intake as in
Italy, but in all instances the ratio of monounsaturated:saturated
dietary lipids is much higher than in other places of the world,
notably northern Europe and North America. In Italy, pasta is consumed
in high quantities, whereas in Spain and Portugal (an "adopted"
Mediterranean country), fish consumption is particularly high. This
review has a small bias toward the Greek variant of the Mediterranean
diet for three unimportant reasons: Greeks have been in the area longer
than other Mediterranean peoples, the early studies that pointed to the
beneficial effects of the Mediterranean diet were largely based in
Greece, and we are more familiar with the Greek data which, however,
convey messages similar to those suggested by data from other
Mediterranean countries (9)
.
Overall, the traditional Mediterranean diet may be thought of as having eight components: 1, high monounsaturated:saturated fat ratio; 2, moderate ethanol consumption; 3, high consumption of legumes; 4, high consumption of cereals (particularly bread); 5, high consumption of fruits; 6, high consumption of vegetables; 7, low consumption of meat and meat products; and 8, moderate consumption of milk and dairy products. A diet that has all of the characteristics of the Mediterranean should, thus, take a score of 8, whereas a diet with none of these characteristics should take a score of 0. High and low values in each of the eight components can be quantified in more detail and expressed as fractions of a unit (12 , 13) . A linear score is necessary for the operationalization of Mediterranean diet and its evaluation as an integral entity in epidemiological investigations (see below).
In the Mediterranean diet, meals are usually accompanied by large quantities of whole grain bread. Legumes and vegetables are consumed in large amounts in cooked dishes, soups, and salads prepared with olive oil. Intake of milk is moderate, but consumption of cheese and, to a lesser extent, yogurt is high; feta cheese is regularly added to most salads and vegetable stews. Meat, being expensive, used to be rarely consumed, whereas fish consumption was a function of proximity to the sea. Wine is consumed in moderation and almost always during meals. The high content in the diet of vegetables, fresh fruits, and cereals and the liberal use of olive oil guarantees a high intake of vitamin C, tocopherols, ß-carotene, various important minerals, and several possibly beneficial nonnutrient substances, such as polyphenols and anthocyanines (14) .
| Cancer Incidence in the Mediterranean and Other Economically Developed Countries |
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Table 1
shows approximate age-adjusted (to the world population) incidence
rates for selected cancer sites per 100,000 person-years,
1990, in
the Mediterranean and Scandinavian regions, as well as for the United
Kingdom and the United States. The Mediterranean data may overestimate
actual rates, because regional registries exist in the more developed
regions that are usually characterized by higher cancer rates. On the
other hand, data from the Scandinavian region do not include Denmark,
because of cancer site classification incompatibilities. We did not
include in this table cancers for which a nonnutritional factor of
overriding etiological importance has been identified.
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| Nutritional Etiology of Cancer |
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| Importance of Selected Food Groups in Mediterranean and Non-Mediterranean Countries |
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| Quantification of the Association of Specific Forms of Cancer with Particular Food Groups |
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Correction for nondifferential dietary misclassification of the relative risk for a particular cancer per increment of intake of a specific nutritional variable is essential in every attempt to explain the difference in the incidence of this cancer between two populations with known mean intakes of the respective nutritional variable. When the misclassification generates values associated with the real values with a correlation coefficient of +0.6 (which is usual in good studies), a relative risk of 2, should be corrected to 3.2 and a relative risk of 2.5 should be corrected to 4.6 (23) . As indicated, this approach is not only theoretically feasible but also very easy to implement, unless powerful confounding among dietary variables is present. The data required, however, are not routinely published in sufficient detail in the scientific literature.
In nutritional epidemiology, when subjects are divided into quintiles,
a weak empirical association corresponds to a relative risk between the
extreme quintiles of
1.5 (or 0.67), a moderate empirical association
to a relative risk of
2 (or 0.5) and a strong empirical association
to a relative risk of
2.5 (or 0.4). These figures could be
substituted for the descriptive statements in the body of Table 3
, if
desirable.
| Could Diet Explain the Low Incidence of Certain Forms of Cancer in the Mediterranean Region? |
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7, an estimate compatible with empirical
information (24
, 25)
. This means that between people
consuming low quantities of vegetables and fruits and high quantities
of red meat and similar foods, and those who consume high
quantities of vegetables and fruits and low quantities of red meat and
similar foods, the relative risk is
7. Suppose further that only 3%
of the populations in Mediterranean regions have the very unfavorable
combination of consuming very few foods of plant origin and a
substantial amount of red meat, as compared with 20% of populations in
Western countries, whereas 37% of Mediterranean populations and 20%
of Western populations have the very favorable combination of consuming
a substantial amount of foods of plant origin and very little red meat.
The remaining 60% in both populations would be equally distributed in
the in-between categories. The data in Table 4
25% by switching from a Western
diet (weighted relative risk calculated by summing the products of the
fraction of the population in each quintile of Mediterranean diet score
with the relative risk of colorectal cancer for the quintile =
0.2*1 + 0.2*2.5 + 0.2*4.0 + 0.2*5.5 + 0.2*7 = 4.00) to a
Mediterranean diet (weighted relative risk = 0.37*1 + 0.2*2.5 +
0.2*4.0 + 0.2*5.5 + 0.03*7 = 2.98).
Similarly, on the basis of the data in Tables 1
, 3
, and 4
, one could
conclude that adherence to the principles of the Mediterranean diet by
the people of major developed countries could reduce their higher
incidence of breast cancer by
15% (seven dietary risk factors, but
all of them weak; the only exception is alcohol, which is, however,
also common in the Mediterranean diet), could reduced their higher
incidence of prostate cancer by <10% (three dietary risk factors, all
of them weak), and could reduced their relatively low incidence of
cancers of the pancreas and the endometrium by <10% (three or four
dietary risk factors, all of them weak).
In conclusion, the Mediterranean diet could reduce the overall incidence of cancer in northern Europe and North America by up to 10%. It should be noted, however, that the most recognizable effects of the Mediterranean diet concern cardiovascular diseases (10) , a topic that is beyond the scope of this review.
| Footnotes |
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2 The abbreviation used is: FAO, Food and
Agriculture Organization. ![]()
Received 2/23/00; revised 5/17/00; accepted 6/26/00.
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