
Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention Vol. 9, 325-328, March 2000
© 2000 American Association for Cancer Research
Early Onset Baldness and Prostate Cancer Risk1
Wendy Demark-Wahnefried2,
Joellen M. Schildkraut,
Denis Thompson,
Samuel M. Lesko,
Lauren McIntyre,
Pamela Schwingl,
David F. Paulson,
Cary N. Robertson,
E. Everett Anderson and
Philip J. Walther
Division of Urology/Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina 27710 [W. D-W., D. F. P., C. N. R., E. E. A., P. J. W.]; Program of Cancer Prevention, Detection and Control Research/Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina 27710 [J. M. S., D. T.]; School of Public Health, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts 02146 [S. M. L.]; Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana 47907 [L. M.]; and Family Health International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27713 [P. S.]
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Abstract
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Prostatic carcinoma is the leading cancer among American men, yet few
risk factors have been established. Although increased androgen levels
have long been associated with both prostatic carcinoma and baldness,
to date no studies have shown an association between hair patterning
and prostate cancer risk. A lack of standardized instruments to assess
baldness or the assessment of hair patterning during uninformative
periods of time may have precluded the ability of previous studies to
detect an association. We hypothesized that baldness, specifically
vertex baldness, should be assessed using standardized instruments and
during early adulthood if an association with prostate cancer risk is
to be found. To test this hypothesis, we included identical items
related to hair patterning in surveys that were administered in two
distinct prostate cancer case-control studies (Duke-based study,
n = 149; 78 cases; 71 controls and community-based
study, n = 130; 56 cases; 74 controls). In each,
participants were provided with an illustration of the Hamilton Scale
of Baldness and asked to select the diagrams that best represented
their hair patterning at age 30 and again at age 40. From these data,
the following five categories were created and compared: not bald
(referent group); vertex bald early onset (by age 30); vertex bald
later onset (by age 40); frontal bald early onset (by age 30); frontal
bald later onset (by age 40); and frontal (at age 30) to vertex bald
(at age 40). Separate analyses of the two studies are consistent and
suggest an association between vertex baldness and prostate cancer
{vertex bald early onset odds ratios, 2.44 [confidence interval
(CI), 0.5710.46)] and 2.11 (CI, 0.666.73), respectively; vertex
bald later onset odds ratios, 2.10 (CI, 0.637.00) and 1.37
(CI, 0.474.06), respectively}. Although statistical significance
was not achieved in either one of these studies, the concordance
between the data suggests a need for future studies to determine
whether early onset vertex baldness serves as a novel biomarker for
prostate cancer and whether androgen production, metabolism, or
receptor status differs among these men when compared to those who
exhibit other types of hair patterning.
 |
Introduction
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One of five American men will develop prostate cancer during their
lifetime (1)
. Despite the high incidence of prostatic
carcinoma, few risk factors other than increasing age, family history,
and black race are established (2)
. A long-standing
hypothesis is that prostatic neoplasia is stimulated by testosterone,
and therefore, increased androgen levels represent a risk factor for
this disease (2
, 3)
. Evidence in support of the role of
androgens is provided by the fact that eunuchs rarely develop prostate
cancer, that castration has a palliative effect on prostate cancer, and
that testosterone alone can produce prostatic adenocarcinoma in rats
(2
, 4
, 5)
. Likewise, eunuchs will not develop baldness if
castrated before age 25, and if supplemented with testosterone, eunuchs
will assume age-appropriate hair patterns characteristic of their
pedigree (6
, 7)
. Despite these apparent similarities, only
a few studies have explored whether hair patterning is associated with
prostate cancer, and no associations have been found
(8, 9, 10, 11)
. In the most recent of these studies,
Demark-Wahnefried et al. (8)
found that men who
displayed vertex (crown) baldness had significantly higher levels of
free testosterone, as did prostate cancer cases when compared to
controls. However, despite strong associations between testosterone
levels and disease and between testosterone levels and vertex baldness,
no association between present hair patterning and prostate cancer risk
was found within the sample of 5070-year-old men (8)
.
Given the strategy of targeting patients with early disease onset
commonly used in studies of genetic susceptibility, we speculated on
the emergence of early onset phenotypes that may be associated with
disease and hypothesized that vertex baldness may indeed portend risk
if assessed during an informative period of time (i.e.,
early adulthood). To explore this issue further, retrospective data
related to hair patterning at age 30 and age 40 were gathered from men
participating in two discrete prostate cancer case-control
investigations and are reported herein.
 |
Materials and Methods
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Data were generated from two prostate cancer case-control studies
conducted by investigators at Duke University Medical Center during
April 1993 to March 1998. For both studies, subjects were limited to
mentally competent black or white men who had no prior cancer histories
other than nonmelanoma skin cancer. In addition, the items and
procedures used to assess and collect hair patterning data were
identical for both studies, i.e., subjects were
provided with a diagram of the
HS3
of Baldness as modified by Norwood (12)
and asked to
select the view pair that best represented their hair patterning at age
30 and again at age 40 (6)
. Although assessment using the
HS requires no special training and concordance between lay and expert
scores or repeated ratings have been reported as 98 and 99%,
respectively (6)
, no validation studies have been
performed to determine the validity and reliability of hair patterning
data that are gathered retrospectively and by self-report. There,
however, is no reason to believe that case-control status would
influence the patterns, which were reported.
The first study was a prostate cancer case-control investigation
that was aimed at determining anthropometric (body fat distribution,
skeletal structure, and body musculature) and hormonal (total and free
testosterone, dihydrotestosterone, and sex hormone binding
globulin) risk factors for prostate cancer. The sample was
recruited exclusively from the urology clinics at Duke University
Medical Center and was further delimited to men who had been weight
stable within 1 year of recruitment (no weight loss or gain >10% of
body weight), between the ages of 50 and 70, and who had not received
any hormonal treatment (including orchiectomy). Only cases with
localized prostate cancer who were within 3 months of diagnosis were
included. Controls were patients who came to the clinic expressly for
prostate cancer screening (19%) or to be evaluated for benign
prostatic hypertrophy (26%), prostatitis (19%), hematuria (6%),
dysuria (6%), impotence (5%), nephrolithiasis (5%), nocturia (3%),
epididymitis (3%), spermatocele (3%), urinary tract infections (2%),
inguinal hernia (1%), renal or seminal vesicle cysts (1%), or
retroperitoneal fibrosis (1%). Cases and controls were
frequency-matched on age (50% between ages 50 and 60; 50% between
ages 60 and 70) and race (80% white; 20% black). Recruitment for this
study was conducted in person from April 1993 to January 1995. The
refusal rate was 5%, with "lack of time" cited as the primary
reason for nonparticipation, which was slightly higher among blacks as
well as control subjects (total, n = 315). In November
1997, all surviving patients (per the Duke patient database,
n = 287) were sent reprints of resulting papers along
with a copy of the baldness scale, questions regarding their hair
patterning at ages 30 and 40, and a preaddressed stamped postcard to
record and return their response. Control participants also were asked
whether they had been diagnosed with prostate cancer in the interval
between their initial participation and the time at which they received
the mailing (four controls were diagnosed with prostate cancer
and were recorded and analyzed as cases). Response cards from 150 men
and 42 unopened letters with no forwarding address were
received, thus yielding a second tier response rate of 61%.
Response rates did not differ between cases and controls; however, they
did differ between blacks (34%) and whites (63%).
The second study was a community-based prostate cancer
case-control investigation that was conducted within a 63 contiguous
county region of North Carolina. The primary aim of the study was to
ascertain the effect of environmental and occupational exposures on
prostate cancer risk. Cases were identified from 16 hospitals that
contributed 75% of cases within the geographic region; community-based
controls frequency-matched on age (the age criteria for both cases and
controls was
67 years of age), race, and county of residence were
identified from Department of Motor Vehicle tapes. Recruitment was
conducted via a mailed letter, which instructed interested participants
to mail back a preaddressed stamped postcard. Given the limited funding
that precluded active follow-up, a reliance on active consent was
necessary and resulted in an overall acceptance rate of 9.7%. Rates of
acceptance varied with regard to race (6.9% among blacks
versus 13.6% among whites) and case-control status (6.4%
among controls versus 22.3% among cases). Cases and
controls, however, did not differ with regard to income and educational
status. Cases were interviewed within 1 year of diagnosis, and data for
this study were collected via an in person interview. Nurse
interviewers showed each participant the HS of Baldness and asked men
to indicate the view pair that best "fit" their hair patterning at
age 30 and also at age 40; their responses to each question were
recorded.
Data from both studies were reviewed and double-key entered (responses
from four subjects, one from the Duke-based study and three from the
community-based study, were excluded due to failed logic checks and
inconsistency). For data analyses, HS scores of baldness at each age
were collapsed into three categories: not bald (I/II); frontal bald
(IIa/III/IIIa/IVa), and vertex bald (III-vertex, IV/V/Va/VI, and VII;
see Fig. 1
). To better classify balding individuals with regard to the
directionality of their hair loss, i.e., balding beginning
at the hairline versus balding beginning at the crown, and
also to discriminate between early versus later onset
balding, the following five categories were created and compared: not
bald at 30/not bald at 40 (not bald: referent group); not bald at
30/vertex bald at 40 (vertex bald later onset); vertex bald at
30/vertex bald at 40 (vertex bald early onset); not bald at
30/frontal bald at 40 (frontal bald later onset); frontal
bald at 30/frontal bald at 40 (frontal bald early onset); and frontal
bald at 30/vertex bald at 40 (frontal to vertex bald). Given the
centrality of vertex balding to our hypothesis, men reporting any
vertex baldness were classified as being "vertex bald," thus
excluding the possibility of vertex to frontal hair loss pattern.

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Fig. 1. HS of Baldness hair patterns. Hair patterns have been rearranged from
the original 4 x 3 block (organized by Roman numerals) as
proposed by Norwood (12)
and arranged according to
"not bald," "vertex bald," and "frontal bald" status.
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Given the differences in study design and proportionate accrual,
as well as sample characteristics (e.g., racial composition
and stage distribution) that are associated with prostate cancer and
could confound androgen-related effects, a decision was made to conduct
separate analyses on data from each study.
2
analyses were conducted to determine whether differences in hair
patterning existed between cases and controls. Additional analyses
using unconditional logistic regression models and adjusting for age
and race also were conducted. Age was modeled as a continuous variable
in the logistic regression analysis, with age set at age of diagnosis
for cases and age at interview for controls.
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Results
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There were significant differences between the studies with regard
to race and stage. The community-based study had proportionately more
blacks and more men with later-staged disease than the Duke-based study
(Table 1)
.
Hair patterning data for prostate cancer cases and controls are
presented in Table 2
, and baldness categories with race and age-adjusted ORs are presented
in Table 3
(unadjusted ORs are not presented because of their similarity to these
data). Data suggest that vertex baldness is associated with an
increased risk for prostate cancer, with an
2-fold increase in risk
noted among men who develop vertex baldness by age 30. In contrast,
data related to frontal baldness suggest that it might be protective or
modify the risk associated with vertex baldness; however, data are too
inconsistent to draw firm conclusions. For all analyses, the magnitude
of the ORs was consistently greater in the community-based study, with
effects that approached significance (at the 5% level), as compared to
the Duke-based study where weaker trends were observed.
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Discussion and Conclusion
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Of the studies that have explored the association between
hair patterning and prostate cancer risk, this is the first to suggest
differences between cases and controls. Wynder et al.
(11)
, Oishi et al. (10)
, and
Greenwald et al. (9)
were all unable to detect
differences between prostate cancer cases and controls with regard to
body hair, hair thickness, and/or baldness (8)
. These
investigations used different discriminators, such as body hair, and
also did not employ standardized tools, such as the HS of Baldness, to
assess hair patterning. In addition, some of these prior studies used
techniques, such as the use of reunion photographs, which were
incapable of capturing hair loss at the crown. However, even using
standardized scales and techniques to capture vertex baldness,
Demark-Wahnefried et al. (8)
also were unable
to detect case-control differences in hair patterning when assessed in
men over the age of 50. Given the prevalence of hair loss with
increasing age and evidence that eunuchs will only demonstrate baldness
if castrated after age 25 or if supplemented with testosterone
(6)
, it may be important to capture hair patterning at
critical periods of time if its utility as a risk factor is to be
adequately tested. This study is unique because: (a) head
hair patterning was assessed using a standardized scale; and
(b) data were collected on hair patterning during earlier
adulthood.
Although the limitations of this investigation included its reliance on
self-reported, retrospective data that may be subject to respondent and
recall bias and a lack of power to achieve statistical significance,
the ORs for vertex baldness were of similar direction and magnitude.
The concordance between these results lends strength to our conclusion
that early onset vertex baldness may place men at "moderate risk"
for prostate cancer (13)
, with ORs that suggest a >2-fold
increased risk among men who develop vertex baldness by age 30.
In summary, given the consistency of our findings, as well as the
growing body of research that indicates that there are common
biological factors and pathways that are associated with both prostate
cancer and baldness [i.e., variations in the A2 allele in
CYP17 (cytochrome P450c17
gene on 10q24.3 encoding for
17
-hydroxylase and 17/20-lyase; key enzymes in the androgen
steroidogenesis pathway; Refs. 14, 15, 16
), expressed levels
of androgens and insulin-like growth factor-1 (3
, 8
, 17
, 18)
, conversion of testosterone to dihydrotestosterone (2
, 19)
, and androgen receptor status (19, 20, 21)
], we
encourage further study of early vertex baldness as a potential risk
factor for prostate cancer.
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Acknowledgments
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We gratefully appreciate Jennifer Lucas, Alice Neary, Barbara
Matthias, Megs Rosenberg, and Angela Ross for their help with data
collection and entry. We also thank Amy Shearin and Jennifer Hoff for
their assistance with data cleaning.
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Footnotes
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
1 Supported by the National Cancer Institute
(R03-CA59263, R21-CA69773, and K07-CA62215), the Department of
Veterans Affairs (ERIC), and the Duke Committee for Urologic
Research, Education and Development. 
2 To whom requests for reprints should be
addressed, at Box 2619 Duke University Medical Center/Medical Sciences
Research Building, Durham, NC 27710. Phone: (919) 681-3261; Fax:
(919) 684-9990; E-mail: demar001{at}mc.duke.edu 
3 The abbreviations used are: HS, Hamilton
Scale; OR, odds ratio. 
Received 8/18/99;
revised 11/29/99;
accepted 12/13/99.
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