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Division of Public Health Sciences, Program in Epidemiology, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington 98109 [J. L. S., K. G. W., J. R. D.]; Departments of Epidemiology [J. L. S., J. R. D.] and Biostatistics [B. M.]; School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195; and Northwest Prostate Institute, Northwest Hospital, Seattle, Washington 98133 [M. K. B.]
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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Results from previous epidemiological studies of vasectomy and prostate cancer have been inconsistent. Four (4, 5, 6, 7) case-control studies using hospital-based controls reported positive associations between vasectomy and risk of prostate cancer, although subsequent hospital-based (8 , 9) and population-based case-control studies refuted such an association (10, 11, 12, 13, 14) . Two cohort studies (15 , 16) estimated about a 60% increase in the RR3 of prostate cancer in relation to vasectomy. However, a third large cohort study failed to observe any association between prostate cancer incidence and vasectomy (17) .
Most of the previous studies were based on secondary analyses of data collected for other purposes and were not designed to assess vasectomy in relation to the risk of prostate cancer. The majority of these earlier studies also did not collect data on DRE or serum PSA testing, which became available in 1986, to evaluate potential detection bias related to screening for prostate cancer. These screening procedures may be correlated with vasectomy status as well as the diagnosis of prostate cancer. We hypothesize that men who get a vasectomy may also be more likely to seek prostate cancer screening and early care for prostate cancer. Thus, failure to control carefully for screening history may result in spurious elevations in risk estimates associated with vasectomy. Here we report the results of a large population-based case-control study that was specifically designed to address the question of whether or not vasectomy is associated with the risk of developing prostate cancer.
| Materials and Methods |
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Male 4064-year-old residents of King County, Washington were identified as a comparison group through random digit telephone dialing using a clustering factor of five residences per sampling unit (18 , 19) . Controls were frequency-matched to cases by age (same 5-year group) and recruited evenly throughout the ascertainment period of cases. During the first step of random digit dialing, complete household census information was obtained for 94% of the 21,116 residential telephone numbers contacted. We identified a total of 941 men who met the study eligibility criteria and agreed to receive information about the study. Of these, 703 (74.7%) were interviewed, 228 (24.2%) refused, 6 were lost to follow-up, and 4 were too ill to participate. The overall level of participation for controls was 70.2% (94% x 74.7%). In addition, 66 (27.7%) of those who refused to participate in the detailed interview completed a brief telephone nonrespondent interview.
Data Collection.
Before the interview, all subjects signed informed consent for participation, and all study forms and procedures were approved by the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Institutional Review Board. Study subjects completed in-person interviews conducted by trained male interviewers using a standardized questionnaire. The questions pertained to the time period up to the date of cancer diagnosis for cases and a similar, randomly preassigned reference date for controls, which approximated the distribution of cases diagnosis dates. Information on the following topics was elicited: (a) social and demographic factors; (b) physical development, height, weight, and physical activity; (c) reproductive history; (d) detailed medical history including genitourinary diseases, symptoms and procedures, and screening for prostate cancer; (e) vasectomy status including ever, reason for vasectomy, age at procedure, and year of procedure; (f) family structure and cancer history; (g) smoking and lifetime alcohol consumption; (h) lifetime sexual history; and (i) occupational history. A separate section of the study questionnaire administered to cases only asked about physical signs and symptoms before diagnosis and at the time of prostate cancer diagnosis. A chronological list of potential signs, symptoms, and tests or procedures that led to the diagnosis of prostate cancer was recorded, which allowed stratification of cases by the presence or absence of symptoms at diagnosis. A calendar of life events including marriages and births was used to enhance recall and record details such as age and date of the vasectomy and screening tests for the detection of prostate cancer, i.e., PSA blood tests, DREs, and prostate ultrasound examinations. After the interview, each subject was asked to provide consent for the access to medical records. All subjects were then asked to complete a self-administered food frequency questionnaire about usual dietary intake during the 35 years before the reference date.
Subjects who refused the in-person interview were offered the opportunity to complete a brief telephone nonrespondent questionnaire. Information was obtained on demographic factors, height, weight, screening for prostate cancer, vasectomy status and age at procedure, and family history of prostate cancer in first-degree relatives.
Clinical information on prostate cancer cases was available from the Seattle-Puget Sound SEER cancer registry. Tumor histological grade was coded according to the Gleason system as follows: Gleason grade of 24, low grade (well differentiated); Gleason grade of 57, moderate grade; and Gleason grade of 810, high grade (poorly differentiated; Ref. 20 ). The stage at diagnosis was based on the Whitmore-Jewett system (21) and incorporated the best available clinical and pathological information obtained within 4 months of diagnosis. For men not undergoing radical prostatectomy, stage was based solely on clinical information. Surgical and pathological data were incorporated into the staging for men who had radical prostatectomy. For this analysis, stage A represents incidentally found disease confined to the prostate, stage B represents localized disease confined to the prostate, stage C represents regional disease that has spread beyond the prostate, and stage D represents metastatic disease.
For study subjects who were members of Group Health Cooperative, a large health maintenance organization in Washington State, medical records were reviewed to verify self-reported information on vasectomy status. Hospital and clinical data were available for 83.3% (65 of 78) of cases and 72.8% (67 of 92) of controls providing consent for access to medical records. Of the 132 records reviewed, there were 8 cases and 11 controls whose vasectomy was done at Group Health Cooperative according to the in-person interview data. All 19 (100%) of the self-reported vasectomies in these men were confirmed by medical records.
Statistical Analysis.
ORs were calculated as estimates of the RR of prostate cancer associated with various parameters of vasectomy such as ever having undergone the procedure, age at vasectomy, and date of vasectomy. Logistic regression models were used to compute ORs and estimate 95% CIs around the point estimates of risk (22)
. To evaluate whether risk related to vasectomy varied by clinical factors such as histological tumor grade, stage of disease at diagnosis, and the presence of symptoms at the time of prostate cancer diagnosis, case strata were compared to controls using polychotomous logistic regression (23)
. For these analyses, tumor stage and grade were modeled as categorical outcomes. Differences in the distribution of potentially confounding factors in control men with and without vasectomy were evaluated using a
2 test. Differences in means between cases and controls were assessed by the t test, and all Ps were two-sided. Tests for linear trends in risk estimates were performed by constructing scored variables that were entered into logistic models as continuous covariates. Multiplicative effect modification was evaluated by comparing the significance of the difference between models including and excluding the interaction term.
Established and suspected prostate cancer risk factors were examined for potential confounding effects on the vasectomy-prostate cancer association, including the following: (a) age at reference date; (b) race; (c) family history of prostate cancer (none, first-degree relatives, second-degree relatives only); (d) marital status; (e) income; (f) education; (g) religious preference; (h) smoking history; (i) alcohol consumption; (j) weight, height, and body mass index; (k) sexual history (age at first intercourse, number of partners, history of sexually transmitted diseases); (l) history of BPH diagnosed by a physician >2 years before reference date; (m) detailed measures of screening for prostatic disease (ever had, frequency and recency of DREs, PSA blood tests, prostate ultrasounds, other urological procedures, visits to urologists); and (n) dietary intake (total fat, total saturated fat, lycopene, and ß-carotene, all adjusted for total energy). Each of these variables was added one at a time to a model containing age and vasectomy status to assess confounding, which was considered if the factor changed the OR by more than 5%. Final logistic regression models controlled for the confounding effects of age (continuous), race, family history of prostate cancer, and the number of PSA tests within the 5 years before the reference date (0, 12, 34, and
5). The potential variation in RR estimates was also examined according to strata of age, race, family history of prostate cancer, and history of BPH to assess whether any subgroups experienced alterations in the RR associated with vasectomy.
| Results |
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6 months), report religious preference as Protestant or another religion other than Catholic or Jewish, and a slightly higher frequency of having DREs and PSA blood tests done within the 5-year period before the reference date.
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Stage of disease, tumor histological grade, and the presence of symptoms at the time of diagnosis were also evaluated. As shown in Table 3
, ORs associating vasectomy with prostate cancer were higher in men with lower-stage disease, in men with tumors that were well differentiated to moderately well differentiated, and among men who were asymptomatic at the time of prostate cancer diagnosis, although none of these ORs achieved statistical significance.
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We also calculated ORs associated with ever having had a vasectomy (OR, 1.10) after excluding study subjects according to other factors that may be associated with detection bias, undiagnosed prostate cancer in the control group, or latency period between vasectomy and reference date. No substantial change in RR estimates was noted after the exclusion of cases (n = 114) with stage A prostate cancer (OR, 1.08), after the exclusion of controls (n = 43) who reported never having had a DRE exam (OR, 1.12), after the exclusion of controls (n = 44) whose most recent PSA test was done as a follow-up for a prior prostate problem (OR, 1.08), including an earlier elevated PSA level (n = 6), and after the exclusion of subjects (n = 8 cases, 10 controls) whose vasectomy was performed within 5 years of the reference date (OR, 1.12).
Lastly, we estimated RR based on including vasectomy data (ever/never) provided by nonrespondents (35 cases and 66 controls). The OR for prostate cancer associated with vasectomy was similar if the nonrespondent data were added to the analysis (OR, 1.11), or if the percentages of vasectomized and nonvasectomized subjects who completed a nonrespondent questionnaire were applied to all nonrespondents (115 cases and 228 controls) to estimate the expected number of vasectomized and nonvasectomized cases and controls if all eligible subjects had agreed to participate (OR, 1.08).
| Discussion |
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However, several potential limitations of the study deserve comment. It is possible that vasectomy status may have differed in subjects who did not participate in the study relative to those who completed the in-person interview. Some information was available from the nonrespondent telephone interview completed by 30.4% (35 of 115) of cases and 27.7% (66 of 238) of eligible controls, although this sample may not be representative of all nonrespondents. Even so, incorporating this information into the analysis did not alter the risk estimates associated with vasectomy.
It is also possible that some control men may have had undiagnosed prostatic cancer, leading to misclassification of disease and attenuation of the risk estimates toward the null. However, over 94% of the controls in this study reported that they had previously had a DRE examination and/or PSA test for the detection of prostate cancer. An earlier case-control study of men ages <85 years that measured PSA levels in controls found that only 11% of men in this older age group had values > 4.4 ng/ml (13) . There were no differences in the proportions of vasectomized versus nonvasectomized controls who had an elevated PSA level in either Caucasian or African-American men (13) . In our analysis, we noted no change in risk estimates when controls who reported that they had never had a DRE examination or those whose most recent PSA test was performed as a follow-up examination for an earlier prostate problem or an elevated PSA were excluded. Given that all of the controls in our study were less than 65 years of age, we would expect that only about 5% might have an elevated PSA level, and fewer still would have undiagnosed prostate cancer, based on experience from prostate cancer screening programs. Thus, it seems unlikely that this situation could have substantially affected our risk estimates.
Another possible limitation is the use of self-reported exposure data. Few of the earlier studies attempted to validate vasectomy status by medical record review, although reporting bias may occur. We attempted to deal with this issue in several ways. First, we only used male interviewers. Some study subjects may have considered the questions on vasectomy sensitive; such men may have felt more comfortable providing accurate information to male interviewers. Second, we used a calendar to record major life events such as marriage and births to assist with recall regarding the date of vasectomy for those who had had the procedure performed. The questionnaire included queries about vasectomy status in two different sections, under birth control methods and medical history and procedures. Lastly, our medical record validation substudy confirmed 100% of the self-reported vasectomy procedures.
Some earlier studies observed higher RR estimates in men with less advanced prostate cancer (4 , 8 , 16) , perhaps indicating a correlation between vasectomy status and access to medical care or other lifestyle factors such as screening for prostate cancer. However, these prior studies did not collect sufficient information on DRE and PSA screening tests to evaluate the issue. In our data, the pattern of RRs suggests that vasectomized men may be more likely to present earlier in the course of their disease, which may in fact reflect a higher intensity of screening in this population. Our RR estimate associated with vasectomy was positively confounded by the frequency of PSA testing within the 5 years before the reference date.
Inconclusive results regarding vasectomy and prostate cancer have been reported from prior studies (24) , and indisputable concerns about the roles of detection bias, selection bias, unmeasured confounding, and chance as explanations for what are relatively weak positive results have been raised (25 , 26) . Most of the previous investigations were not designed to address this possible association and were based on analyses of data collected for other purposes. Of 11 prior case-control studies, 7 found no association (8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14) , and 4 found elevated risk estimates (4, 5, 6, 7) . All of these latter studies included hospitalized controls, who may have underrepresented the frequency of vasectomy in the populations from which cases were ascertained (27) . Such a selection bias may have produced inflated risk estimates. One of the first positive case-control studies was from a hospital-based medical surveillance program that reported an initial RR estimate of 5.3 (95% CI ,2.710.0; Ref. 4 ). With subsequent data collection, this estimate fell to 1.2 (95% CI, 0.62.7; Ref. 8) . Guess (25) has commented on the tendency of medical surveillance studies to produce upwardly biased RRs.
Several cohort studies have also been published. A large retrospective cohort study by Sidney et al. (17 , 28) found no evidence that vasectomy was associated with prostate cancer. In another retrospective cohort study by Giovannucci et al. (15) , vasectomy was linked to a 60% increase in risk. This study involved recontacting women in 1989 who had been enrolled in the Nurses Health Study in 1976. They were queried about their spouses vasectomy status at the time of the initial study. There was no validation of vasectomy status, and only 48% of the reported prostate cancers were confirmed by medical records (15) , raising questions about the quality of the exposure and disease information. This same group of investigators analyzed prospective data from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study and found a similar increase in the RR of prostate cancer (RR, 1.6) in relation to vasectomy (16) . In the latter study, a total of 422 prostate cancers were self-reported, 417 cases were available for follow-up, and 352 cases (84%) provided consent for medical records that were available to confirm 300 (71%) of the cancers. In addition, information on ever having a DRE was available for 72% of the cohort, which allowed the exclusion of some men who had not had a DRE within the most recent 5-year period. However, no information was available on PSA testing or the frequency of screening for prostate cancer. Interestingly, stratification by stage of disease showed a higher RR for men with localized disease compared to regional/distant stage disease, raising concern about detection bias. If vasectomy status is associated with factors such as health consciousness, access to health care, or screening for prostate cancer, vasectomized men may be overrepresented in the case group. In this situation, failure to account for differences in screening behaviors may result in spuriously elevated risk estimates associated with vasectomy.
Our investigation includes the largest number of middle-aged (<65 years) men with prostate cancer of any study reported to date. Only one other study including 216 cases was limited to men
60 years (11)
. Because vasectomy did not become an accepted method of contraception until the 1960s, the frequency of exposure in our study population was higher than that observed among older men included in the initial studies.
In addition, our study had over 90% power to identify RR estimates of 1.5 or greater (
= 0.05, two-sided test) for the association between vasectomy and prostate cancer. Our results indicate no overall association (OR, 1.1) but suggest that the RR may range from 0.91.4. This estimate of effect is compatible with other large population-based case-control studies. For example, John et al. (13)
reported an OR of 1.1 with an upper 95% CI of 1.3.
It is difficult to draw firm conclusions based on several of the previously conducted studies. This is due to the inconsistency of results across studies, the potential for biases mentioned above, the lack of sufficient power to test the hypothesis, inadequate data to control for prostate cancer screening, and incomplete confirmation of disease status and clinical characteristics. Moreover, in a recent update on the vasectomy-prostate cancer issue, Peterson and Howards (29) emphasize that none of the biological mechanisms proposed as explanations for a possible causal relationship between vasectomy and prostate cancer are either compelling or supported by current basic or clinical research.
The study reported here was specifically designed to address the question of whether or not vasectomy is a risk factor for prostate cancer. Care was taken to obtain additional information in an attempt to overcome some of the limitations of prior investigations. In summary, we found no support for the hypothesis that vasectomy is associated with an increased risk of developing prostate cancer. These findings are particularly noteworthy given the high prevalence of vasectomy and the high incidence of prostate cancer in residents of the geographic area in which this study was conducted. Health care providers, couples considering vasectomy, and men who have undergone vasectomy should find these results reassuring.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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1 Supported by Grant CA56678 and Contract NO1-CN-05230 from the National Cancer Institute, NIH, Department of Health and Human Services. ![]()
2 To whom requests for reprints should be addressed, at Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Avenue North, MW-814, Seattle, WA 98109-1024. Phone: (206) 667-2715; Fax: (206) 667-2717; E-mail: jstanfor{at}fhcrc.org ![]()
3 The abbreviations used are: RR, relative risk; DRE, digital rectal examination; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; BPH, benign prostatic hyperplasia. ![]()
Received 3/ 8/99; revised 6/17/99; accepted 7/12/99.
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