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1 Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche "Mario Negri" and 2 Istituto di Statistica Medica e Biometria, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy; 3 Servizio di Epidemiologia e Biostatistica and 4 Divisione di Oncologia Medica A, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico, Aviano, Italy; 5 Servizio di Epidemiologia, Istituto Tumori "Fondazione Pascale," Naples, Italy; and 6 IARC, Lyon, France
Requests for reprints: Eva Negri, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche "Mario Negri," Via Eritrea 62, 20157 Milano, Italy. Phone: 39-02-3901-4525; Fax: 39-02-3320-0231. E-mail: evanegri{at}marionegri.it
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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In some (6, 7, 11) but not all (9, 10, 14) studies, the risk of all non-HLP cancers was also increased in relatives of NHL cases by
30% to 50%. About specific cancer sites, associations were reported with cancer of the stomach (6, 10), breast (2), and prostate (2, 10).
Overall, the epidemiologic evidence on the relation between family history of HLP cancers and risk of NHL is scant, particularly about the variation of the risk according to some characteristics of the proband or of the relative, such as age, sex, and type of relative. Even scantier are the studies investigating the role of a family history of non-HLP cancers, and no study, to our knowledge, has systematically considered the risk of death from all causes in relatives of NHL cases.
Thus, in this article, we investigate the risk of NHL, HLP, and non-HLP cancers and of death from all causes in first-degree relatives of NHL cases, using data from a case-control study conducted in Italy, an area with medium/high prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection (15) and where the correlates of NHL may differ from the United States and northern Europe, where most other studies have been conducted.
| Materials and Methods |
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Controls were patients between 18 and 84 years of age, admitted for a wide spectrum of acute conditions to the same hospitals where NHL cases had been interviewed. Specifically excluded from the control group were patients admitted for malignant diseases, conditions related to alcohol and tobacco consumption, hepatitis, any chronic diseases that might have changed lifestyle habits, hematologic, allergic, and autoimmune diseases. A total of 554 controls were contacted, of whom 550 accepted to participate. Blood samples were available for 504 controls (median age, 63 years) with a participation rate of 92%. Of these, 27% were admitted to the hospital for trauma, 23% for nontraumatic orthopedic diseases, 22% for acute surgical conditions, 14% for eye diseases, and 14% for a variety of other illnesses (including skin, ear, nose, and throat, and dental conditions, etc.).
All study participants signed an informed consent according to the recommendations of the Ethical Committee of the Aviano National Cancer Institute. Trained interviewers administered a structured questionnaire to cases and controls during their hospital stay. The questionnaire included information on sociodemographic indicators, tobacco smoking, alcohol drinking, dietary habits, behaviors, and exposures that entailed risk of hepatitis C virus transmission. Information on family history included number of brothers, sisters, sons, and daughters. For each first-degree relative (parents, siblings, and children), we recorded the vital status, current age/age at death, whether the relative had a history of cancer, site of cancer, and age at diagnosis.
Each case and control provided a 15-mL sample of blood the day the interview took place. Sera were screened for antibodies against hepatitis C virus using a third-generation MEIA (AxSYM HCV, version 3.0, Abbott, Wiesbaden, Germany). Positive samples were tested for hepatitis C virus antibodies using a third-generation line immunoassay (Innogenetics, Ghent, Belgium) and for serum hepatitis C virus RNA using Amplicor version 2.0 (Roche, Pleasanton, CA). Finally, hepatitis C virus genotyping of hepatitis C virus RNApositive samples was done using a second-generation LiPA (Innogenetics). Samples were considered hepatitis C virus positive when hepatitis C virus antibodies or hepatitis C virus RNA was detected.
Statistical Analysis
We computed odds ratios (OR) of NHL and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) using unconditional multiple logistic regression models (20), and adjusting for age, sex, and study center (model 1) and further for years of education, place of birth, seropositivity for hepatitis C virus, which were associated with NHL risk in this study (15), and number of brothers, sisters, sons, and daughters because a larger family size implies more relatives at risk of developing a cancer and, consequently, a higher probability for the proband of having a positive family history (model 2). In this analysis, the study units were the cases and the controls.
We also built the cohort of all first-degree relatives of cases and controls. In this analysis, each relative of a case or of a control was a study unit, in a similar way as done by Chatterjee et al. (10). We considered four end points: (a) all lymphomas [i.e., Hodgkin's lymphomas (HL), NHLs, or unspecified lymphomas]; (b) all HLP cancers; (c) all cancers (HLP and non-HLP); and (d) all deaths. The group HLP cancers included HL, NHL, multiple myeloma, and all leukemias. A relative that did not present the end point was censored either at the current age (if alive) or at the age at death (for end points other than any death). We used Cox proportional hazard regression models to compute age-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) to develop the end point (21). Dummy variables allowed to estimate the HR of developing the end point for relatives of cases, as compared with relatives of controls, also according to various characteristics of the index case (histologic subtype, grade, and localization). We also fitted models in strata of characteristics of the relative (type of relative and sex) or of the index case/control (age and sex). All models were adjusted for sex of the relative, except sex-specific analyses. Interaction tests were done by comparing the difference in 2 log likelihood of the models with and without interaction terms to the
2 distribution with degrees of freedom given by the number of interaction terms.
From the number of siblings and children reported by the study subjects, the total number of first-degree relatives (including parents) was 1,791 for NHL cases and 4,079 for controls. Information was missing or incomplete for 120 (6.7%) relatives of NHL cases and 159 (3.9%) relatives of controls, thus leaving 1,671 and 3,920 relatives, respectively, available for the analysis.
| Results |
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| Discussion |
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Although the use of hospital controls has long been debated (20), we included in the comparison group only subjects admitted for a wide spectrum of acute, nonneoplastic, nonimmunologic diseases, unrelated to tobacco smoking and hepatitis (22) Moreover, hospital admission for controls is unlikely to be related to the same genetic aspects as familial NHL. Exclusion in turn of controls with major categories of admission diagnoses did not change the results. The practically complete participation (much greater than that of most population-based studies) and the availability of serum samples from overall cases and controls, in addition to the comparable catchment area of cases and controls, contribute to the strength of our study.
Information on family history was self-reported and may thus be inaccurate. It is possible that NHL cases tend to recall cancers in the family better than controls. A review of studies evaluating the accuracy and completeness of reporting of family history in first-degree relatives found satisfactory results for breast, colon, and prostate cancer and less so for endometrial and ovarian cancer. The positive predictive value of self-reported family history (i.e., the proportion of subjects who actually have a positive family history among those who report it) was generally higher for cancer cases than controls (23). It is difficult to evaluate the role of underreporting and differential misclassification on the results. In a study of NHL lymphoma where self-reported family history was cross checked with hospital records and general practitioner notes, the risk of NHL was 4.4 (95% CI, 2.0-10.0) for a self-reported family history of leukemia or lymphoma and 4.0 (95% 1.1-14.1) for confirmed cases (6). For non-HLP cancers, the OR was 1.5 (95% 1.1-2.2) for self-reported family history and 1.9 (95% 1.0-3.4) for confirmed family history. This suggests that overreporting or misreporting is not a major problem.
Another limitation of this study is its sample size, which does not allow to adequately address subgroups. Thus, differences between subgroups should be considered with caution and evaluated in the light of the existing epidemiologic literature. Similarly, lack of significant heterogeneity across subgroups can be due to the low power of the study. Although we presented data on family history of lymphomas, these results were based on five and three events only in relatives of cases and controls, respectively, and thus the estimates are very unstable. For this reason, and also considering that (a) possible errors in reporting the type of cancer from the interviewees may have occurred, (b) the cancers in relatives have been diagnosed in different calendar periods and classification of HLP cancers has changed over time, and (c) the OR was increased for all types of HLP cancers, we will chiefly discuss results on all HLP cancers together.
The classification of lymphatic neoplasms is controversial. Although we collected data also on Hodgkin's lymphoma cases (15, 16), we did not analyze them together because (a) there is evidence suggesting that risk factors for Hodgkin's lymphoma and NHL differ; (b) Hodgkin's lymphoma cases were much younger than NHL cases and controls and thus first-degree relatives of Hodgkin's lymphoma cases belonged to different generations than those of NHL cases or controls; and (c) this improves comparability with previous articles. Chronic lymphocytic leukemia is similar to small lymphocytic lymphoma and was included among NHL in our study, as done by most authors.
In this study, the estimated HR of HLP cancers in relatives of NHL cases was 3.4, in line with estimates from other studies, which ranged from 1.5 to 4.0 (2, 5-14). Thus, for NHL, the risk associated to family history seems to be of the same order of magnitude as for solid cancers (1).
In our study, we found higher risks of HLP cancers in female relatives, in siblings, and in relatives of younger cases although interaction tests were not significant. Given the overall results from epidemiologic studies (risks higher in male relatives in two studies and the opposite in other two), it does not seem that there are striking differences between first-degree relatives of NHL cases according to sex. Conversely, epidemiologic studies consistently report higher risks in siblings than in parents/children, although the differences in risk between different types of relatives are generally small (7-10, 13, 14). This suggests that a recessive model of inheritance may play a role in familial NHL (24). However, this may also reflect changes in diagnostic ascertainment across different generations or censoring at younger ages in siblings, as compared with parents, in the presence of age-dependent risks. For several epithelial cancers, familial risks seem to be higher at younger ages (1). Epidemiologic studies on NHL yielded contrasting results (2, 8, 10), and thus no clear conclusion can be drawn on the change in risk according to age.
In our study, first-degree relatives of NHL cases were at higher risk for all cancers (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.4), also when HLP cancers were not considered (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.2), and there was a direct trend in risk with increasing number of relatives with cancer. Differential reporting cannot be excluded but is unlikely to explain such a pattern of trend in risk. Several other studies found an increased risk of NHL in those with a family history of non-HLP cancers (6, 7, 11), with risk estimates of
1.3 to 1.5, although other studies did not confirm this finding (9, 10, 14).
About specific cancers sites, we found significantly elevated risks for liver, breast, and kidney cancers. Given the many sites considered, and hence the multiple tests done, the possibility of false-positive findings must be borne in mind.
In previous studies (2, 7, 8, 10), the risk of NHL associated with family history of breast cancer ranged between 1.04 and 1.7 and the risk was 1.92 for breast cancer diagnosed before age 50 in the Utah population database (2). Thus, overall, the epidemiologic literature is consistent with a weak association.
One of the main risk factors for liver cancer is hepatitis C virus infection, which has been found to increase the risk of NHL, too, particularly in areas with medium/high hepatitis C virus prevalence, although the estimated risks are much smaller than for liver cancer (25). It is possible that shared environmental risk factors, including hepatitis C virus infectionor other factors associated with exposure to hepatitis C virus, including other still unidentified viruses that share with hepatitis C virus major transmission routesmay explain the association we found between liver cancer and NHL in this study. However, adjustment for hepatitis C virus infection did not substantially modify the OR and the risk of NHL associated with family history of liver cancer was similar in hepatitis C viruspositive and hepatitis C virusnegative subjects. Other two studies that investigated this association reported ORs of 0.9 (8) and 1.3 (10).
The suggestion of an association between kidney cancer and NHL is consistent with data from other two studies, one finding a nonsignificant OR of 1.3 (10) and the other an OR of 1.2 (7) in parents and a statistically significant OR of 3.4 in siblings of NHL cases. Furthermore, a study on second cancers found an increased risk of kidney cancer after NHL and vice versa (26). Although the (scant) epidemiologic evidence suggests an association between these two cancer sites, the reasons for it remain largely unexplained.
An association between NHL and melanoma and/or other skin cancers has been repeatedly reported in second cancer studies (26-28) and has been attributed to shared etiologic factors (29), mainly sunlight and other sources of UV radiation, the major risk factor for skin cancer. However, the hypothesis that UV exposure increases the risk of NHL is not supported by studies measuring UV exposure directly (30, 31). Consequently, shared genetic predisposition cannot be ruled out. The OR of NHL for a family history of melanoma/skin cancer was 2.0 in this study, although the small number of subjects does not allow any meaningful inference and ranged between 1.0 and 1.7 in three other studies (7, 8, 10).
We did not find statistically significant associations with either stomach (OR, 1.1) or prostate (OR, 1.3) cancer as reported in other studies (2, 6, 10). Our data, however, were too scanty to rule out a moderate association.
Finally, we also considered total mortality in the cohort of first-degree relatives. It is conceivable that most of the interviewees were aware of the vital status of their first-degree relatives and that underreporting or differential reporting should be a minor problem with this end point. This is also confirmed by the fact that the risk of dying was the same in relatives of cases and controls overall (HR, 1.0). The similar death rate also provides reassurance that cases and controls came from families with a comparable general health status.
However, we found a significant 60% increase in the risk of death in relatives of NHL cases diagnosed below age 50. Because we did not record the cause of death, we could not investigate which causes were responsible for this difference. A history of cancer was reported for 24 (37%) of the 65 deceased relatives of young NHL cases and for 26 (36%) of the 72 deceased relatives of young controls. This suggests that either a history of cancer was underreported or cancer alone did not explain the difference in mortality between the relatives of young cases and of young controls. We compared the relatives of young NHL cases to the relatives of young controls, and not to those of all controls as done by Chatterjee et al. (10), because first-degree relatives of young subjects belonged, in general, to different (later) generations than relatives of older subjects, and the cancer incidence, as well as total mortality, varies substantially across generations. When we compared relatives of young NHL cases to the relatives of all controls, the risk of death became 1.2 and was no longer significant.
In conclusion, this study supports and further quantifies previous assertions of an increased risk of lymphomas/HLP cancers in first-degree relatives of NHL cases in a Southern European population and suggests that they may be at increased risk of non-HLP cancers, too. The observation that first-degree relatives of young NHL cases are at an overall increased risk of death is interesting but needs further confirmation.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
Received 7/27/05; revised 11/11/05; accepted 12/12/05.
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