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Minireview |
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
Requests for reprints: Susan T. Mayne, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale University School of Medicine, 60 College Street, P.O. Box 208034, New Haven, CT 06520-8034. Phone: 203-785-6274. E-mail: susan.mayne{at}yale.edu
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Abstract |
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Methods/Results: Trials aimed at preventing second cancers in patients with tobacco-related cancers (head and neck, lung), skin cancers, breast cancer, and colorectal adenomatous polyps have been completed with some success. However, one finding that has emerged is that, across several cancer sites, subgroups are found with differential response to the chemopreventive agent. For example, smoking status, alcohol consumption, nutritional status, and host tumor characteristics seem to modify chemopreventive efficacy. Stratum-specific (subgroup) findings may occur by chance, requiring a need for supportive evidence from observational epidemiologic studies of the agent (where available), mechanistic studies, or results of other related trials.
Conclusions: Although chemoprevention of second cancers has been realized, it has become increasingly apparent that not all benefit equally. The finding of subgroup effects in completed trials results in the need to consider such subgroup effects in the design of future trials, by either restricting enrollment to particular subgroups (e.g., never or former smokers), or by increasing sample size requirements to allow for variation in response in subgroups in a statistically powerful way. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2006;15(11):2033–7)
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Introduction |
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16% of incident cancers in the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database. An important current research need is to better understand (a) the epidemiology of second cancers (including treatment-related, syndromic, and second cancers due to shared etiologic factors; ref. 2), (b) chemoprevention strategies for these second cancers, and (c) early detection strategies for second cancers. These three topics were each highlighted at a recent AACR Frontiers in Cancer Prevention Annual Meeting; the current minireview emphasizes chemoprevention of second cancers. The reader is directed to the accompanying minireviews by Travis (1) and Vogel (3) for coverage of the other two important areas of research in the field of second cancers. |
Chemoprevention: Second Cancer versus Primary Cancer Prevention Trials |
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The search for effective chemoprevention agents generally requires evidence of efficacy from randomized cancer prevention trials. Such trials can be conducted in the setting of primary prevention; for example, targeting the general population or subjects at elevated risk of cancer due to prior lifestyle habits (e.g., cigarette smokers), and intervening with the goal of preventing incident cancer. An alternative design is to recruit participants who previously had cancer, and who are at risk for second cancers. The advantages of this trial design are many. First, persons who have had a previous cancer are at relatively high risk for developing a new cancer, such that sample size requirements are much more modest for second cancer prevention trials than for primary cancer prevention trials. As an example, the Lung Intergroup Trial was a second cancer prevention trial that will be discussed shortly; the sample size for this trial was 1,200 randomized subjects with prior lung cancer (6). In contrast, primary prevention trials of lung cancer such as the ATBC (
-Tocopherol ß-Carotene) Lung Cancer Prevention Trial randomized 29,133 subjects (7). The target sample size is obviously influenced by many design factors, but the baseline risk of cancer in the population under study is of prime importance. In addition to being a more "efficient" study design, it could be argued that second cancer prevention trials are more ethical in that exposing persons to agents with some risk may well be more justifiable in the second cancer prevention setting. That is, chemopreventive agents have risks, both known and unknown. Evaluation of efficacy in a statistically powerful second cancer prevention trial, while exposing fewer subjects to agents with risks, is reasonable. For the individual patient who is randomized, the risk-benefit ratio is also arguably more beneficial (greater expected incidence; if risk reduction occurs, more people benefit for a given incidence of adverse effects). A third obvious advantage to second cancer prevention trials is that results are directly relevant to the clinical management of patients with first primary cancers.
With this background in mind, we will review and briefly comment on selected trials to illustrate an important theme that we believe is now emerging in the area of chemoprevention research, more specifically, the role of host and lifestyle factors in modifying the efficacy of chemopreventive agents.
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Chemoprevention with ß-Carotene/Retinoids |
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Over the ensuing 15 years, evidence has continued to mount from other ß-carotene chemoprevention trials supporting the hypothesis that cigarette smoking affects the chemopreventive efficacy of ß-carotene (effect modification). First, the ATBC primary prevention trial of lung cancer in Finnish smokers found that lung cancer was increased in men who received supplemental ß-carotene (7), and that the risk was more pronounced as the amount smoked increased (9). Second, the Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial found that the combination of ß-carotene plus retinyl palmitate increased lung cancer risk in a primary prevention trial of smokers and asbestos workers (10); the adverse effect was noted in current smokers (RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.07-1.87) but not former smokers (RR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.48-1.31). One notable trial of supplemental ß-carotene, the Physicians' Health Study, did not reveal an apparent adverse effect of supplemental ß-carotene in smokers (11), but this could relate to the lower plasma ß-carotene concentrations achieved in this trial (12). Squamous metaplasia has been produced in the lungs of ferrets exposed to both cigarette smoke and high-dose ß-carotene, supporting the plausibility of this subgroup effect (13). The implication is that trials are generally interpreted based on their summary relative risk estimate, but buried within that risk estimate may be subgroups with both qualitatively and quantitatively different risks.
The notion that chemopreventive efficacy may vary as a function of cigarette smoking status is not unique to ß-carotene (14). As discussed elsewhere, the retinoids have been another widely studied class of chemopreventive agents, especially in the second cancer prevention setting (15). One such definitive trial of retinoids for secondary cancer chemoprevention was the Lung Intergroup Trial. This trial was designed to evaluate the efficacy of 13-cis-retinoic acid (30 mg/d) in reducing the incidence of second primary tumors, recurrences, and death in stage I non–small cell lung cancer patients. A total of 1,163 persons were randomized in this placebo-controlled prevention trial. At the planned conclusion of the trial, 13-cis-retinoic acid was found to have no benefit for any of the end points of interest (6). The hazard ratio for second primary tumors was 1.08 (95% CI, 0.78-1.49); the hazard ratio for recurrence was 0.99 (95% CI, 0.76-1.29), and the hazard ratio for overall mortality was 1.07 (95% CI, 0.84-1.35). Thus, at first glance, this trial produced a consistent null result. However, when the results were stratified by smoking status, a rather different picture emerged; 13-cis-retinoic acid seemed to be beneficial in nonsmokers but harmful in current smokers. As an example, the hazard ratio for recurrence was 0.44 in never smokers (95% CI, 0.15-1.27) versus a hazard ratio of 1.37 in smokers (95% CI, 0.9-2.1). A formal statistical evaluation of a treatment-by-smoking interaction was done; for example, current smokers randomized to the retinoid were 3.11 (95% CI, 1.00-9.71) times more likely to have a recurrence compared with never smokers randomized to the retinoid (Pinteraction = 0.07). Similarly, current smokers randomized to the retinoid were 4.39 (95% CI, 1.11-17.29) times more likely to die compared with never smokers randomized to the retinoid (Pinteraction = 0.007). Obviously, understanding the mechanistic basis for such a qualitative interaction, wherein one group of persons apparently benefited from an intervention whereas another group was apparently harmed, is an important priority for chemoprevention research.
The previous examples emphasized the increasing evidence supporting an interaction between carotenoids/retinoids and tobacco in cancer chemoprevention, but the apparent interactions are not limited to tobacco. Alcohol consumption is another lifestyle factor that not only interacts with tobacco to modify cancer risk (16), but may also jointly interact with tobacco and chemopreventive agents to affect risk. An example of this is suggested in the results of the Antioxidant Polyp Prevention Trial (17). This trial randomized 860 persons with prior colorectal adenoma to ß-carotene and/or vitamins C/E (2 x 2 factorial design). The primary end point for this trial was adenoma recurrence. Overall, neither of the antioxidant interventions was found to affect the primary end point (e.g., for the ß-carotene intervention group, the RR for adenoma recurrence was 1.01; 95% CI, 0.85-1.20). However, when the population was stratified by tobacco use and alcohol intake (18), a different picture emerged. In persons who were nonsmokers/nondrinkers, supplemental ß-carotene reduced the risk of adenoma recurrence (RR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.35-0.89). In contrast, among persons who smoked cigarettes and drank more than one alcoholic drink per day, supplemental ß-carotene increased the risk of adenoma recurrence (RR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.39-3.08; P for difference from nonsmoker/nondrinker RR < 0.001). Again, this trial revealed both quantitative and qualitative interactions, with the relative risk estimates for ß-carotene varying 4-fold, depending on lifestyle factors of the subjects in the trial.
Clinical trialists appropriately caution against overinterpretation of subgroup effects within trials (19). This is because subgroup differences can arise simply due to chance, or subgroups may differ from each other in ways other than just the stratification variable of interest. Confirmation of subgroup leads may be warranted in follow-up trials, if the totality of the evidence supports a particular subgroup benefit. To accomplish this, publication of subgroup findings must be encouraged in the primary efficacy publications to see if certain subgroups are consistently helped or harmed by chemopreventive agents of interest.
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Chemoprevention in Smokers |
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In contrast to the carotenoids and retinoids, vitamin E is an agent that may hold potential for chemoprevention of certain cancers in smokers. More specifically, the ATBC lung cancer primary prevention trial enrolled only smokers at entry. Although vitamin E was not found to reduce the incidence of the primary end point in this trial (lung cancer), a notable decrease in prostate cancer was observed in men randomized to receive vitamin E (20). The suggestion that vitamin E might reduce the incidence of prostate cancer in smokers also has some basis in the observational epidemiology literature. Chan et al. (21) examined the association between supplemental vitamin E use and risk of prostate cancer in the Health Professionals' Follow-up Study. Overall, supplemental vitamin E (
100 IU/d) was not associated with prostate cancer risk in this study (RR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.95-1.20). However, among current smokers/recent quitters, an inverse association was suggested for metastatic/fatal prostate cancer (RR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.18-1.07). Kirsh et al. (22) also conducted a prospective cohort analysis of supplemental vitamin E and prostate cancer risk, but in this case using men from the screening-only arm of the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. Supplemental vitamin E was not related to prostate cancer risk overall; however, use of >400 IU of supplemental vitamin E per day was associated with a substantial risk reduction for advanced prostate cancer in current/recent smokers (RR for >400 IU/d versus none, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.12-0.68; Ptrend = 0.01) but not in never smokers (RR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.84-1.98) or former smokers (RR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.65-1.40).
The suggestion that smokers might uniquely benefit from supplemental vitamin E for prevention of advanced prostate cancer could theoretically be formally evaluated in the ongoing Selenium and Vitamin E Chemoprevention Trial (SELECT; ref. 23); this would require adequate representation of smokers in the trial population. Randomization is now complete with >35,000 men randomized; unfortunately, a large majority of the participants are not current smokers. If vitamin E exerts its primary chemopreventive effect in smokers only, with regard to advanced prostate cancer, SELECT will likely lack the statistical power to detect such a stratum-specific effect.
The notion that different groups in a population may respond differentially with regard to a chemopreventive agent raises some interesting considerations with regard to sample sizes. That is, both primary prevention trials and trials aimed at preventing second cancers would benefit from more generous sample sizes to allow examination of effects in subgroups of the population. Because primary prevention trials are already very large and extraordinarily expensive to conduct, increasing sample sizes to accommodate subgroup analyses in primary prevention trials is not likely to occur. This highlights the importance of trials aimed at preventing second cancers, where increased sample sizes are not as cost-prohibitive as in the primary prevention setting.
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Effect Modification by Baseline Nutrient Status |
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Another example where baseline nutrient status seemed to modify the efficacy of a nutrient-based chemopreventive intervention comes from the trial of Baron et al. (28). This trial randomized 930 subjects with previous colorectal adenomatous polyps to calcium (3 g/d) or placebo. The primary end point of this prevention trial was recurrent adenomas. Calcium supplementation was found to significantly reduce the risk of the recurrent adenomas in this study (RR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.74-0.98). When the authors subsequently stratified the population by vitamin D status at baseline as assessed by 25-hydroxy vitamin D concentrations in blood (29), they observed that supplemental calcium had no effect in persons with poorer (below median) vitamin D status (RR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.9-1.3). In contrast, supplemental calcium seemed to have greater efficacy in persons with better (above median) vitamin D status (RR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9; Pinteraction = 0.01). This implies that a lack of vitamin D might need to be rectified for calcium to have any effect as a potential chemopreventive agent. However, it must be noted that the Women's Health Initiative evaluated an intervention involving both calcium and vitamin D for colon cancer primary prevention, and found the intervention to be ineffective (30). At enrollment, participants had mean total calcium (1,151 mg/d) and vitamin D (367 IU/d) intakes that were twice the national average and nearly met current recommendations. The high baseline intake of these target nutrients might explain in part the lack of efficacy observed in this trial.
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Breast Cancer: Second Cancer Prevention Trials |
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5 years of therapy (31). However, tamoxifen therapy is not effective in women with estrogen receptor–negative tumors, and also has been shown to significantly increase the risk of endometrial cancers. Raloxifene is another selective estrogen receptor modulator that shows promise in breast cancer chemoprevention (see ref. 32 for review), and seems to lack the increased endometrial cancer risk. These two compounds are being compared in the ongoing Study of Tamoxifen and Raloxifene trial.1 Aromatase inhibitors, such as anastrozole and letrozole, also show promise for breast cancer chemoprevention (33). The Anastrozole, Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination trial showed that anastrozole was more effective than tamoxifen in reducing contralateral breast cancer (34). As is the case with tamoxifen, these agents target hormone-sensitive breast cancers.
Basic science research has revealed promising molecular targets for cancer prevention and therapy, such as the epidermal growth factor receptor signaling pathway (35). Epidermal growth factor receptor–targeted agents hold promise in the prevention of cancer and its recurrence. For example, the monoclonal antibody trastuzumab (Herceptin) is an example of a molecularly targeted drug that has been proven effective in reducing the risk of recurrent breast cancer (36, 37).
This body of research shows that effective prevention of second cancers is possible. However, these approaches are not appropriate for all women with breast cancer; for example, trastuzumab is only appropriate for women with HER2-positive tumors, and selective estrogen receptor modulators target hormone-responsive tumors. Thus, other strategies are needed that can be more broadly applied.
Two prevention trials involving diet modification in breast cancer survivors are worthy of mention here. The first is the Women's Intervention Nutrition study, which was a randomized trial of dietary fat reduction in women surgically treated for primary invasive breast cancer. A total of 2,437 postmenopausal women with early stage breast cancer were randomized to a standard diet or a low-fat diet (20% of total kilocalories from fat). Preliminary results of the trial have been released; after 5 years of follow-up, there was an overall 24% reduction in risk of recurrent breast cancer in the low-fat intervention group (38). This consisted of a 42% reduction in risk for women with estrogen receptor–negative tumors, versus a 15% reduction in risk for women with estrogen receptor–positive tumors. Another trial, the Women's Healthy Eating and Living Study, is a randomized trial of increased consumption of fruits and vegetables in women with breast cancer. Results of this trial are anticipated in the next year or so.
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Conclusions and Recommendations |
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In the interim, although research continues to seek targeted, evidence-based chemoprevention for second cancers, the recommendations for prevention in cancer survivors parallel recommendations for cancer prevention in the general population. That is, strategies that continue to make sense for cancer survivors include tobacco cessation, promoting physical activity/avoidance of weight gain, ingesting a prudent diet consisting of more plant-based foods, drinking in moderation for those who choose to drink, and avoidance of excessive solar radiation.
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Footnotes |
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Received 5/22/06; accepted 9/ 7/06.
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References |
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-Tocopherol, ß Carotene Cancer Prevention Study Group. The effect of vitamin E and ß carotene on the incidence of lung cancer and other cancers in male smokers. N Engl J Med 1994;330:1029–35.-Tocopherol and ß-carotene supplements and lung cancer incidence in the -Tocopherol, ß-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study: effects of baseline characteristics and study compliance. J Natl Cancer Inst 1996;88:1560–70.-tocopherol and ß-carotene: incidence and mortality in a controlled trial. J Natl Cancer Inst 1998;90:440–6.
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Abstract
Introduction