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1 Department of Mathematics and 2 Center for International Health, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway; and 3 Cancer Registry of Norway, Oslo, Norway
Requests for reprints: Grethe Albrektsen, Department of Mathematics, University of Bergen, Johannes Bruns gate 12, 5008 Bergen, Norway. Phone: 47-555-82686; Fax: 47-555-89672. E-mail: msega@uib.no
| Abstract |
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30 years, third birth
35 years), as well as women with an early second birth (<25 years), the proportion with advanced disease was rather similar or even higher among those diagnosed 2 to 6 years after birth (49.3-56.0%). The association between clinical stage and time since birth reached statistical significance among women with a late first or second birth and among all triparous women (P
0.032). The subgroups with a high proportion of advanced disease 2 to 6 years after birth corresponded quite well to those previously found to have the most pronounced transient increase in risk after birth. Thus, pregnancy hormones may have a progressive effect on breast cancer tumors in addition to a possible promoting effect. A potential effect of prolactin is discussed. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2006;(15)1:659) | Introduction |
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The observed transient increase in risk in breast cancer after a term birth, although mainly examined in relation to the first birth, reaches a maximum after
5 years (1). In our recent study (3), we observed a transient increase in risk also after subsequent births. The timing of the adverse effect differed somewhat according to the order of the birth and the effect was most pronounced after childbirths at age 30 years or older. Little is known about tumor characteristics in the high-risk period after birth. In the present study, we, therefore, focus on the breast cancer cases in our study cohort and examine whether clinical stage of disease at time of diagnosis differs according to time since a childbirth in subgroups defined by parity and maternal age at birth. We also compare stage of disease in parous and nulliparous women by age.
| Materials and Methods |
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Only cases classified as primary malignant neoplasm of the breast (International Classification of Diseases, seventh revision, code 170, 98.4% histologically verified), with complete information on clinical stage (99.4%), were included. In the data from the Norwegian Cancer Registry, clinical stage at date of diagnosis reflects malignancy and extension as defined by node involvement and metastases. Tumors confined to the breast, with no regional lymph node involvement and no direct extension to the skin or chest wall, are recorded as stage I tumors. A stage II tumor comprises cases with axillary lymph node involvement. A stage III tumor is one with extension to the skin or chest wall, with or without lymph node involvement, but with no distant metastasis, whereas a stage IV tumor are those with distant metastases.
Statistical Analyses
2 Tests were applied to examine associations between clinical stage of the disease at time of diagnoses and time (years) since the most recent full-term birth within subgroups defined by parity and maternal age at birth. Diagnoses during pregnancy, defined as starting 9 months before date of birth, were also considered. In addition, associations between clinical stage and parity, as well as age at diagnosis, were examined. To provide more detailed information about the categories of time since birth or age that have the largest effect on the overall test for association, we also give the cell-specific contributions to the
2 test. We, therefore, calculated the difference between the observed and expected cell counts, given no association, relative to the square root of the expected value. Absolute values of this quantity exceeding
1.96 or 1.64 for a specific category correspond to contributions at the 5% and 10% level, respectively. A negative value will indicate that we observe fewer cases than expected, whereas a positive value will indicate that we observe more cases than expected.
Logistic regression analysis was applied to test whether the association between late-stage tumors and time since birth differed by parity or maternal age at birth, and whether the association between late-stage tumors and age differed by parity (interaction tests).
| Results |
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0.89; Table 2). At older ages, nulliparous women tended to be diagnosed with a more advanced disease (P = 0.019 in women ages 45 to 49 years, P
0.086 otherwise; Table 2), except for women diagnosed at age 65 years or older (P = 0.51; Table 2). The large proportion of late-stage tumors in parous women below 30 years was consistently observed across subgroups of number of births (51.6%, 52.8%, 50.0%, and 71.4% in women with 1, 2, 3, and
4 births). Among women diagnosed at age 30 to 39 years, those with many children also had the highest proportion of late-stage tumors (46.3%, 44.4%, 47.8%, and 54.3% in women with 1, 2, 3, and
4 births).
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30 years at date of birth), the highest proportion of advanced disease was found among those diagnosed 2 to 6 years after birth (56.0%), and this particular category also made an independent significant contribution to the overall test for association (Table 3). No significant difference across subgroups defined by maternal age was found (Pinteraction = 0.70, changed to 0.27 when testing for difference below and above age 30 years at date of first birth). A more detailed categorization showed that the highest proportion of stage II to IV tumors in uniparous women occurred among those diagnosed <1 year after a delivery at age 25 to 29 years (66.7%), closely followed by those diagnosed <1 year after a delivery at age
30 years (61.5%). However, the number of cases was low (9 and 13 cases, respectively).
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40% in the subsequent time period, and no significant association with time since the birth was found (Table 3). Among the oldest mothers (
30 years at date of second birth), however, almost 50% of those diagnosed 2 to 6 years after birth also appeared with an advanced disease, and this particular category made an independent significant contribution to the overall test for association (Table 3). Despite apparent differences, the test for heterogeneity across subgroups of maternal age did not reach statistical significance (Pinteraction = 0.075, changed to 0.11 when testing for difference below and above age 30 years at date of second birth). The highest proportion of advanced disease (66.7%) was seen among the 15 women diagnosed during the second pregnancy who were 30 years or older at term birth. Among triparous women, a significant association between clinical stage and time since third birth was found in all categories of maternal age (Table 3). Among women with a third birth before age 30 years or at age 30 to 34 years, the highest proportion of late-stage tumors was found among those diagnosed during pregnancy or within 2 years after birth (60.9% and 71.2%, respectively). Among women with a third birth at age 35 years or older, however, the highest proportion of advanced disease was found among those diagnosed 2 to 6 years after birth (55.1%). This category almost made an independent significant contribution to the overall test results (Table 3). No significant difference across subgroups of maternal age was found (Pinteraction = 0.28, changed to 0.20 when testing for difference below and above age 35 years at date of third birth). With a more detailed categorization, the highest proportion of stage II to IV tumors in triparous women was seen among the 21 women diagnosed <1 year after a third birth at age 30 to 34 years (85.7%).
| Discussion |
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Consistent with our findings, two previous studies (4, 5) found a larger proportion of node-positive tumors, and also larger tumors, in women with <5 or 6 years since their most recent childbirth than in those with a longer time interval since a term birth. Both of these studies, however, focused on the poor prognosis among women with a very recent birth. Another Nordic registerbased study (6) found that the transient increase in risk after first and second birth was most pronounced for late-stage tumors, as defined by tumor size, nodal status, and histologic grading, respectively. These findings were interpreted as being consistent with a progressive effect of pregnancy hormones. In an additional study based on the same data (7), parity and age at first birth were similarly associated with carcinoma in situ lesions and invasive breast cancer, apparently contradictory to the hypothesis of a promoting effect. However, carcinoma in situ comprises epithelial cells with morphologic features of malignancy and these cells may already have reached a phase in which they are susceptible to hormonal exposure.
A selection bias or delay in diagnosis owing to difficulties in discovering breast tumors in young women in general, as well as in women with a recent childbirth, may partly explain the larger proportion of late-stage tumors shortly after birth (2). However, such an effect is limited in time (2, 8) and can probably not fully account for the high proportion of late-stage disease as long as 2 to 6 years after a full-term birth. Our results were quite similar when redefining the two first categories to <3 and 4 to 6 years after birth. On the basis of comparisons between observed and predicted number of cancer cases, Wohlfahrt et al. (6) concluded that a delayed diagnosis or surgery due to pregnancy could not explain the entire excess risk of late-stage breast cancer that persisted as long as 10 years after birth in their study. A larger proportion of advanced disease in women diagnosed some years after a term birth may be related to a general more rapid tumor progression in younger than older women (9), possibly reflecting normal physiology at time of initiation (10). However, the present observation of a larger proportion of advanced disease among parous than nulliparous women at a young age, in agreement with results from another recent study (11), indicates that pregnancies contribute to an advanced stage at diagnosis among younger women.
We found that the proportion of late-stage tumors was particularly large immediately after a third birth before age 35 years. An effect of earlier pregnancies may have contributed to this unfavorable pattern. Among women with a third birth at age 35 years or older, the largest proportion of late-stage tumors was found in women diagnosed 2 to 6 years after the birth, overlapping with the high-risk period in that subgroup (3). Previously, we found that an early first birth did not prevent an adverse effect of subsequent births at an older age (3), apparently contradictory to the hypothesis that differentiation of breast cells after the first pregnancy makes the breast tissue less susceptible to hormonal or other carcinogenic stimuli (1). However, breast cells that are in a very early phase of a carcinogenic development at time of the first pregnancy may eventually undergo a malignant transformation, and possibly further development, through the repeated exposure to pregnancy hormones of subsequent pregnancies.
A promoting effect of pregnancy estrogens has been hypothesized to explain the transient increase in risk of breast cancer after a full-term birth (12). In a recent study (13), however, the short-term adverse effect of first pregnancy was present only for progesterone receptornegative tumors, independent of estrogen receptor status. A less consistent pattern has been found in relation to time since last birth and estrogen/progesterone receptor status (14). The proportion of estrogen receptorpositive tumors increases with age (15, 16), and the observation that low parity and late age at first birth are more likely to be associated with estrogen receptorpositive tumors (14, 17) may reflect a general age pattern since overall associations with these reproductive factors are often studied in older women. Pregnancy-associated breast cancer (i.e., cancer diagnosed during or within 2 years after birth) tends to be estrogen receptor negative (2), as tumors in young women in general (18). However, a large proportion of estrogen receptornegative tumors has been found to be prolactin receptor positive (19). Prolactin receptor positivity has also been found to be more common in breast tumors, as well as benign lesions, than in normal breast tissue (20, 21). Furthermore, experimental and epidemiologic research has indicated that prolactin can have a promoting (21, 22) as well as a progressive effect (21, 23-26), and also act as a local growth factor (21, 23, 25, 27). The elevated level of prolactin during pregnancy and lactation (28, 29) may thus be the factor of importance with respect to the short-term adverse effect of a childbirth. Consistent with a hypothesis of a promoting effect of prolactin, especially after late-age births (1, 3), the plasma prolactin level has been found to be elevated in healthy women whose first birth occurred after age 35 years (30), and has been found to increase with age in premenopausal women who were diagnosed with breast cancer at a median of 5 years after sampling (31). The pregnancy-related exposure to prolactin may also accelerate growth of existing tumors and thus explain the present observation of a larger proportion of late-stage tumors in women diagnosed some years after a term birth.
Prolactin has previously been hypothesized to be important both in the initiation and promotion steps of breast tumorigenesis (32-34); it may also explain associations with some reproductive factors (23, 34, 35). Inconsistent findings in relation to female breast cancer risk (36-39) may be due to difficulties with sampling, owing to daily and monthly variations in prolactin levels (35, 36, 40). Serum prolactin levels are also considerably lower than breast fluid prolactin levels (41). Prolactin has recently been suggested to be of importance also for breast cancer risk in males (42). A potential effect of prolactin may depend on estrogen and progesterone receptor status (20, 24, 43), although some experimental studies have indicated an independent effect (21, 44). Recent reports (45-49) have focused on the role of antiprolactinemic drugs, in addition to use of antiestrogens in the treatment of breast cancer. Both treatment regimens have thus far been assumed to act by blocking hormone-induced cell proliferation and/or by increasing apoptosis (45, 47-52). Some studies (44, 53), however, suggest that antiestrogen treatment may act through a down-regulation of prolactin receptors.
To further explore a potential role of prolactin, it would be of interest to analyze the joint effects of prolactin, estrogens, and progesterons on breast cancer risk, as well as tumor growth characteristics. Information on a potential role of prolactin can also be obtained from larger epidemiologic studies examining the short-term effect of a pregnancy according to whether the women have breast-fed or not, and also by the length of the lactation period. A recent study (54) found a 2-fold increase in risk of carcinoma in situ lesions in women below 50 years who had breast-fed at least 24 months. Of particular interest in view of potential biological mechanisms is also the finding that overall associations with lactation and duration of breast-feeding seem to be unrelated to estrogen and progesterone receptor status of the tumor (14). Information on breast-feeding was not available in our register-based study, but breast-feeding is, and has been, quite common in Norway. In certain subgroups defined by parity and maternal age, we found that the proportion of advanced disease was particularly high among women diagnosed within the first year after a term birth.
| Footnotes |
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
Received 8/16/05; revised 10/ 3/05; accepted 10/10/05.
| References |
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