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1 Obstetrics and Gynecology Epidemiology Center, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology; 2 Channing Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School; Departments of 3 Epidemiology and 4 Nutrition, Harvard School of Public Health; and 5 Department of Adult Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts
Requests for reprints Karin B. Michels, Obstetrics and Gynecology Epidemiology Center, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, 221 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA 02115. Phone: 617-732-8496; Fax: 617-732-4899. E-mail: kmichels{at}rics.bwh.harvard.edu
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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Burkitt's initial observation was followed by numerous case-control studies. A combined analysis of 13 case-control studies (3) as well as a meta-analysis of 16 case-control studies (4) indicated an inverse association between fiber intake and colorectal cancer. Inclusion of studies was selective, however, and effect estimates unadjusted for potential confounders were used for most studies. Moreover, recall bias is a severe threat to the validity of retrospective case-control studies of fiber intake and any disease outcome.
In contrast, 10 prospective studies (which avoid the potential for recall and control selection bias; refs. 5-14), including initial analyses from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS, ref. 13) and the Health Professionals' Follow-up Study (HPFS; ref. 14), have largely failed to support this association. Most recently, a report from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) including 1,065 incident cases of colorectal cancer among 519,978 individuals followed for an average of 4.5 years described an inverse link between fiber intake and colorectal cancer incidence (15). This study included various populations, ranging from Scandinavia to the Mediterranean, with diverse dietary habits. Two different methods were used to calculate fiber intake from the food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). Folate intake and other potential confounders, however, were not controlled for in the EPIC analysis.
We conducted an updated analysis of the association between fiber intake and colorectal cancer in the NHS and the HPFS using both methods employed in EPIC to derive fiber intake from repeatedly given dietary questionnaires over 14 to 16 years of follow-up.
| Materials and Methods |
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The study populations for the present analyses consisted of all women free of cancer in 1984 who completed the 1984 FFQ and who reported a total caloric intake between 500 and 3,500 cal/d, as well as all men free of cancer in 1986 who completed the 1986 FFQ and who reported a total caloric intake between 800 and 4,200 cal/d.
Dietary Assessment
Dietary intake data were collected repeatedly in both cohorts by self-administered semiquantitative FFQs (16). In the NHS, diet was assessed in 1980, 1984, 1986, 1990, and 1994; for the present analysis, dietary information was used starting in 1984, when an expanded FFQ including
130 food items with greater detail on fiber intake was introduced. In the HPFS, diet was assessed in 1986, 1990, and 1994, using an equivalent FFQ.
Nine mutually exclusive response categories were provided for the frequency of intake in both cohorts. The choices ranged from "almost never or less than once per month" to "six or more times per day". Participants reported their average intake of a prespecified portion size for each food over the past year. Reproducibility and validity of the FFQ for both women and men have been reported previously (17, 18). The correlation coefficients (adjusted for random within-person variation) for the comparison of dietary fiber intake assessed with an FFQ administered twice one year apart and the means of four 1-week diet records were 0.51 and 0.58 among women (17) and for the comparison of dietary fiber intake assessed with an FFQ administered twice one year apart and the means of two 1-week diet records 0.63 and 0.68 among men (18).
Overall fiber intake was calculated using the Association of Official Analytical Chemists (AOAC) method (accepted by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the WHO for nutrition labeling purposes; ref. 19) and Englyst nonstarch polysaccharides fiber (used primarily in the United Kingdom; refs. 20, 21). Whereas the AOAC derivation includes some starch as dietary fiber, the method by Englyst distinguishes nonstarch polysaccharides from starch.
Ascertainment of Cases
On each biennial questionnaire, we ask cohort participants whether cancer of the colon or rectum had been diagnosed during the previous 2 years. Deaths are reported to us primarily through family members; to identify fatalities among subjects who had not responded to questionnaires, we used the National Death Index and the U.S. Postal Service. We have estimated that >98% of deaths are ascertained (22).
When a participant (or next of kin for decedents) reported a diagnosis of cancer, we sought permission to obtain relevant medical records and pathology reports. A study physician blinded to all questionnaire data reviewed the medical records to extract information on the histologic type, the anatomic location, and the stage of the cancer. For this analysis, we included incident cases of colon and rectal cancer diagnosed between 1984 and 2000 for NHS and between 1986 and 2000 for HPFS, because follow-up of the self-reported cases was complete up to 2000. We included some colorectal cancer cases that were not clearly defined as colon nor rectal cancer in the colorectal cancer analyses. Only cases of invasive adenocarcinoma were included in this analysis; cases of carcinomas in situ were not considered.
Follow-up
Follow-up rates for the cohorts were calculated as the total number of person-years during which questionnaires were returned divided by the total number of possible person-years of follow-up for the cohort. The follow-up rate for the population studied in this analysis was 98.9% for the NHS and 97.0% for the HPFS.
Statistical Analysis
Dietary fiber was used in the analysis as intake in grams per 1,000 cal. The nutrient density of fiber intake per 1,000 cal was chosen to account for differences in absolute intake among women and men, which simplifies the combined presentation of results for women and men. Fiber was also grouped into five equally spaced categories to define exposure.
Absolute fiber intake was also used in the analysis as a continuous variable, and the hazard ratio (HR) of colorectal cancer was assessed per 5-g increase in absolute fiber intake per day. When using fiber intake as a continuous variable, fiber intake was truncated at 35 g/d for AOAC fiber and at 30 g/d for Englyst fiber to avoid undue influence of outliers or implausible values.
Incidence rates of colorectal cancer within each category of fiber intake were calculated by dividing the number of new cases of colorectal cancer by person-years of follow-up. Person-years of follow-up for each participant were calculated from the date of return of the 1984 questionnaire (NHS) or the 1986 questionnaire (HPFS) to the date of diagnosis of colon or rectal cancer, death, or the end of follow-up (with a cutoff date of June 1, 2000, for the NHS and January 31, 2000, for the HPFS), whichever occurred first. Participants with cancers other than nonmelanoma skin cancer at baseline were excluded from the analyses. Participants who reported Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis were excluded at baseline, and follow-up was censored when these diseases were diagnosed after baseline. Analyses were carried out for all colorectal cancers and separately for colon and rectal cancer.
A Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate the relative risk of developing invasive colorectal cancer (23). The proportional hazards model allowed us to adjust simultaneously for multiple potential time-dependent confounders of this association. We included only covariates in our models that were a priori possible risk factors for colorectal cancer to avoid potential overadjustment. The following dietary predictors of colorectal cancer were included in the final models: folate (24), red meat and processed meat (25), calcium (26), alcohol (2), methionine (27), and glycemic load (28).
Regression models were adjusted for age, time period, family history of colorectal cancer, history of sigmoidoscopy or colonoscopy, height, body mass index (weight/height2), physical activity, regular aspirin use, duration of aspirin use, pack-years of smoking in early adulthood, multivitamin supplement use, total caloric intake, alcohol consumption, dietary folate, red meat consumption, processed meat consumption, glycemic load, calcium intake, methionine intake, and (among women) menopausal status and postmenopausal hormone use. All covariates except for height were repeatedly assessed and updated in the analysis.
All nutrients included in the covariate-adjusted models were energy-adjusted. In addition, total caloric intake was included in the covariate-adjusted model to control for residual confounding by total energy intake and to minimize extraneous variation due to general underreporting or overreporting of food items on the FFQ (16). To represent long-term dietary patterns of individual subjects as accurately as possible and to reduce random within-person variation, we modeled the incidence of colorectal cancer in relation to the cumulative average fiber intake from all available dietary questionnaires up to the start of each 2-year follow-up interval (29). Among women, dietary data from the 1984 questionnaire were used to predict colorectal cancers diagnosed between 1984 and 1986; the average of the 1984 and 1986 dietary intake was used to predict outcomes between 1986 and 1990; the average of the 1984, 1986, and 1990 FFQs was used to predict colorectal cancer between 1990 and 1994; and the average of the 1984, 1986, 1990, and 1994 FFQs was used to predict colorectal cancers from 1994 to 2000. Among men, dietary data from the 1986 questionnaire were used to predict the outcomes between 1986 and 1990; the average of 1986 and 1990 dietary intake was used to predict outcomes between 1990 and 1994; and the average of 1986, 1990, and 1994 dietary intake was used to predict outcomes between 1994 and 2000. This method uses all self-reports of fiber intake to predict the incidence of colorectal cancer, rather than the most recent report, thus giving equal weight to recent diet and diet in the more distant past and reducing measurement error due random within-person variation.
We also analyzed our data following as closely as possible the methods and models used in the EPIC study (15). For these analyses, we used only baseline AOAC fiber information (1984 for NHS and 1986 for HPFS) in quintiles of intake. Regression models were adjusted for age, height, baseline weight, and baseline total caloric intake.
Because of the difference in gender, follow-up time, FFQs, and covariates in the two cohorts, analyses were done separately for each cohort, and the results were then combined using a fixed effects model weighting the two relative risk estimates by the inverse of the SE (30). Tests of heterogeneity were used to evaluate whether associations differed between women and men; results are shown separately whenever significant heterogeneity was seen.
| Results |
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The Pearson correlation coefficient between AOAC and Englyst fiber was 0.99 in both cohorts. The mean intake of AOAC fiber was 19.5 g/d (SD = 6.8) among women, 21.9 g/d (SD = 8.2) among men, and 20.3 g/d (SD = 7.4) among women and men combined.
The distribution of predictors of colorectal cancer by frequency of fiber intake (per kcal) during the observation period in the NHS and the HPFS is presented in Table 1. Persons who reported higher fiber intake per calories tended to be older and to have had a higher prevalence of health-seeking behaviors, as indicated by higher rates of sigmoidoscopy, multivitamin supplement use, and physical activity; and lower rates of smoking and alcohol consumption. Participants with higher fiber density consumed less red meat and more dietary folate and calcium and had a higher glycemic load.
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Following the analytic model used in EPIC, we observed results similar to those found in EPIC (Table 3). The EPIC investigators reported an HR of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.59-0.95) for the highest quintile of fiber intake compared with the lowest quintile, controlling for age, weight, height, and total caloric intake (15). The respective HR value from our population with the same covariate adjustments was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.58-0.82; Table 3). In these analyses, fiber intake assessed at baseline was used to most closely mimic the analytic model used in EPIC. After fully adjusting the model for all covariates used in our analyses, this value changed to 0.85 (95% CI, 0.70-1.04) in our data when using fiber assessed at baseline and 0.94 (95% CI, 0.76-1.17) when using fiber that was cumulatively updated.
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| Discussion |
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Few cohort studies have assessed as much covariate information as the NHS and the HPFS. The recently published analyses of the EPIC cohort adjusted for age, weight, height, sex, nonfat energy, energy from fat, and study center (15). The authors further stated that smoking and physical activity had no significant effect and therefore did not include them in the analytic model. Physical activity has been relatively consistently related to lower risk of colorectal cancer in other studies (31). Hence, it is possible that physical activity was not captured well with the EPIC questionnaire or the range of physical activity was too limited to show any association. It is possible that residual confounding remains in the data from the EPIC study because some of the most important confounders in our analyses, such as folate (32), calcium (33), and glycemic load, were not controlled in the EPIC analyses (the EPIC authors state that adjustment for red meat and processed meat did not affect their results). In trying to pinpoint nutrients associated with colorectal cancer, it seems particularly important to control for folate intake because intake of fiber and folate, especially in populations with low use of supplements and fortified foods, will generally be from similar foods, namely fruits, vegetables, and whole grains.
Potential confounding variables were included in our analytic model if they were likely a priori risk factors for colorectal cancer and not in the causal pathway between fiber intake and cancer outcomes. Dietary variables included in our multivariate models other than fiber were generally associated with colorectal cancer and their correlation with fiber was not very strong. Thus, overadjustment is not a likely explanation for the different results observed after adjusting for several covariates (34).
In our previous analyses from these cohorts with shorter follow-up, we had observed similar results (13, 14). These analyses were conducted similar to the analyses carried out in the EPIC study: fiber intake and potential confounding variables were used only from the baseline assessment and fiber intake was categorized in quintiles. A considerable number of potential confounding variables were considered in our prior analyses, however.
The similarity in the results of our study and EPIC when adjustments were made for the same covariates (age, height, weight, caloric intake from fat, and caloric intake from sources other than fat) suggests that we were able to measure fiber intake adequately. Observed associations between fiber intake and diverticular disease (35), constipation (36), diabetes (37, 38), and cardiovascular disease (39) in our cohorts lends further support to our ability to assess fiber intake with sufficient precision; in these analyses, we also adjusted for several covariates and associations persisted.
Despite the restriction to a U.S. population, our cohorts displayed considerable variation in fiber intake. Across both cohorts, the mean daily AOAC fiber intake was 20.36 g with a SD of 7.36. In the EPIC cohort, the respective values were 21.97 ±7.38 g. Thus, variations in intake in our cohorts and in EPIC do not differ substantially and are not likely to be a sufficient explanation for the difference in results. Our highest category comprised mean intakes of
30 g/d compared with about 12 g/d in the lowest category. The respective comparison made in EPIC was 32 and 13 g. Hence, the absolute intake in the two populations seemed comparable.
We calculated associations using two different methods to calculate fiber intake, AOAC and Englyst fiber, and we obtained similar results with the two methods. In the EPIC cohort, the British sites calculated fiber intake by the Englyst method, whereas all other centers followed the AOAC method. Overall results from EPIC combined these estimates.
Fiber sources may differ across these populations. Europeans may eat different grain sources (e.g., rye bread or flaxseed) than do individuals in the United States, and different fibers (e.g., lignans or wheat bran) may have different associations with disease. Similarly, different types of fruits may be consumed (e.g., lignan content varies by fruit type). It is conceivable that some of the differences across studies are due to different proportions of fiber subcomponents.
Despite the lack of association between fiber intake and colorectal cancer in our cohorts after appropriate adjustment for confounding variables, we can explain considerable variation in colorectal cancer incidence with other modifiable risk factors. Variation in obesity, physical inactivity, alcohol consumption, smoking during early adulthood, red meat consumption, and low intake of folic acid from supplements accounts for 71% of the colon cancers observed among the men in our cohort (40).
Data collected in observational studies, whether dietary or nondietary, are assessed with error (41). Covariates in multivariate models are measured with error and those errors may be correlated across different covariates (42). Error correlations are particularly high among dietary variables; hence, models including several nutrients may create spurious associations in unpredictable direction (43). Using nutrient residuals or nutrient densities as was done in our analyses reduces distortion of estimates by correlated measurement error (43). Furthermore, it is likely that fiber intake was assessed with less measurement error than other dietary covariates, except perhaps alcohol consumption.
The EPIC investigators attempted to correct for measurement error of fiber intake using a 24-hour recall as a "gold standard" (15). Currently available measurement error correction models assume independence of errors of the two methods. Errors in the FFQ and the 24-hour recall, however, are likely correlated (44). Thus, application of traditional measurement error correction models may adjust estimates in an unpredictable direction (43-46).
We did not formally correct for measurement error as appropriate methods to correct for measurement error of repeatedly assessed and averaged dietary data have not yet been developed. Repeated assessments of diet were used in the NHS and the HPFS, which provide a better measure of long-term intake than does our baseline diet although associations with colorectal cancer were not different for baseline or updated diet. The use of cumulatively updated dietary data reduces random (but not systematic) within-person measurement error (16).
In conclusion, prospective cohort studies have fairly consistently indicated no important association between fiber intake and colorectal cancer. Our updated analysis from NHS and HPFS produced results similar to those of the EPIC study when we adjusted for the same covariates; however, when we controlled for additional confounders, the inverse association between fiber intake and colorectal cancer vanished. Nevertheless, because high fiber intake has been associated with other important health outcomes, recommendations to consume generous amounts of whole grains, fruits, and vegetables are well supported.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
Received 7/19/04; revised 12/14/04; accepted 12/28/04.
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