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1 Genetic Epidemiology Branch, 2 Biostatistics Branch, 3 Radiation Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; 4 Division of Molecular Genetic Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany; 5 Department of Biosciences at Novum, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden; and 6 Institute of Cancer Epidemiology, Danish Cancer Society, Copenhagen, Denmark
Requests for reprints: Lynn R. Goldin, Genetic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, 6120 Executive Boulevard, MSC 7236, Bethesda, MD 20892-7236. Phone: 301-402-9656; Fax: 301-402-4489. E-mail: goldinl{at}mail.nih.gov
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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Case-control (4-7) and cohort studies (8-11) have consistently shown significantly increased risks of NHL (range, 2.0-4.0) associated with a family history of lymphoma or other hematopoietic malignancy. Due to the sample size limitations of most case-control studies and the limitations of recall about a relative's cancer by an index subject, little is known with regard to the spectrum of lymphoproliferative malignancies that aggregate with NHL or differences in familial risk for subtypes of NHL. In our study, we used a case-control design to compare the risks of lymphoproliferative tumors in first-degree relatives of patients with NHL (including subtypes in over 7,000 cases) with the risks in first-degree relatives of matched controls. We applied a survival analysis approach that accounted for correlation among related individuals, truncation in the data due to start dates of cancer registrations, and complete ascertainment of all NHL cases in the population (12). Our model also incorporated heterogeneity in aggregation by the relative's gender and relationship to the case and by the case's age at diagnosis. In this largest study to date, including data from both Sweden and Denmark up to a 40-year period, we have been able to quantify more precisely than in other studies the degree of familial aggregation of NHL and related lymphoproliferative malignancies.
| Materials and Methods |
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A similar database of NHL cases, controls, and relatives was created (14, 15) using the Danish Cancer Registry and the Danish Central Population Registry (CPR). All cases of NHL diagnosed from 1968 to 1997 (as either a first or second primary) were selected from the Cancer Registry. Four matched (by gender and year of birth) cancer-free controls per case were chosen from the CPR. All first-degree relatives of cases and controls were identified by linking the unique individual IDs of the subjects to the CPR. The CPR contains links of offspring to parents (and vice versa) starting with all children born in 1968 as well as linkages among family members who were living in the same address in 1968. The unique IDs of the relatives were then electronically linked to the Cancer Registry to obtain all cancer diagnoses. Cases and controls with no linkable relatives were dropped and duplicate controls were also dropped. This caused the number of control probands per case to vary. Approximately 37% of cases and controls could be linked to relatives. We analyzed data for 6,438 NHL probands and their 15,379 first-degree relatives and 19,979 control probands and their 52,383 first-degree relatives. Approximately 95% of the case probands had NHL as a first primary tumor, making this sample comparable with the Swedish sample.
Statistical Analysis
The statistical approach is based on a model proposed by Liang (16) and described in detail elsewhere (12). We classified relatives as "affected" if they had a first, second, or third primary cancer registration with the tumor of interest. Here, the age or age at onset of disease in a relative of a proband is modeled by a proportional hazards model. Familial aggregation for each condition is evaluated by testing the hazard ratio of being a relative of a case compared with a relative to a control. The model was fitted to the data using the PHREG procedure in SAS v8.02. We use relative risk (RR) to denote the hazard ratio defined above. The robust sandwich covariance matrix accounts for the dependence of the family members. We tested separately for increased risk for NHL, Hodgkin lymphoma, chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), and multiple myeloma in relatives and also tested for increased risk of developing any one of the four tumors considered as a combined entity. Data were analyzed for each population both separately and pooled together. Because case and control probands were matched for risk factors thought to be important for NHL, the relatives should be generally well matched. However, because they cannot be individually matched, we adjusted for gender in all analyses and for country when samples were combined. Because strong secular trends affected the population incidence rates for NHL during the time period of this study (2, 3), birth cohort (using 1941 as a cutoff) was used as a proxy for secular trends. The main effect of interest in this analysis is the increased risk associated with being a relative of a case compared with being a relative of a control. However, we were also interested in testing whether other factors such as gender, type of relative, age of disease onset in the case proband, or histologic subtype affected case-control comparisons. Thus, we analyzed the data both by stratifying on these factors and by testing them as interaction effects in one model. Age at diagnosis was stratified at <50 versus
50 and <65 versus
65 to be consistent with other published studies. The classification by histologic subtype is more complicated, because NHL is a heterogeneous group of entities, and etiologies are known to be different for some subtypes. For over 7,000 of the more recently diagnosed cases, additional histopathology codes (Systemized Nomenclature of Medicine codes in Sweden starting in 1993 and International Classification of Diseases for Oncology in Denmark starting in 1978) were available and we used these to subset the cases into three categories: low-grade B NHL (the most numerous being follicular lymphoma), high-grade B NHL (mainly diffuse large B cell lymphoma), and T-cell and anaplastic large cell NHL. This categorization was originally derived from the Kiel classification (ref. 17; which was applied by most pathologists in Sweden and Denmark during a major part of the actual study period) and which was later developed and refined in the REAL and most current WHO classifications (18). In this study, we use the terms "aggressive" and "indolent" to denote high-grade and low-grade B-cell NHLs, respectively. Many studies include CLL as an indolent lymphoma. However, we have analyzed relatives of CLL cases previously (14) as a separate group; thus, they are not included here. There are data in the literature suggesting increased sex concordance in Hodgkin lymphoma and CLL sib pairs (19, 20). We tested whether the gender concordance in our samples of NHL-NHL sib pairs differed from random expectations.
| Results |
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The strongest finding in this study was a much higher familial risk among relatives of probands with aggressive NHL compared with those with indolent NHL or to the overall population. Whereas these differences were not statistically significant, they were consistent in the two populations. The combined RR of NHL was 3.56 (95% CI, 1.80-7.02) among relatives of cases with aggressive NHL, about 2-fold higher than the overall risk of 1.73 for risk of NHL in all relatives combined from both populations; a similar increase was seen in both populations (Sweden RR, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.29-7.31; Denmark RR, 4.33; 95% CI, 1.54-12.13). The combined RR of NHL in relatives of indolent cases was 1.41 (95% CI, 0.91-2.18; not significant) and was similar in the two populations. Sample sizes of relatives of cases with T-cell/anaplastic large cell NHL were too small to draw conclusions.
To test for increased sex concordance among siblings with lymphoproliferative tumors, we analyzed within the combined sample, the 15 families where two siblings had a diagnosis of NHL. This is a small number of families given the large sample of relatives available and is likely due to the fact that siblings of cases comprised only 13% of the sample. Nonetheless, the sex concordance distribution was extremely distorted among these sib pairs. Among the 15 pairs, there were six male-male, eight female-female, and one male-female. Assuming the observed gender ratio of our sample (58% males), there was no excess of male-male pairs but a large excess of female-female pairs and a shortage of mixed gender pairs. This distribution is significantly different from that expected under the null (
2 = 16.81, 2 degrees of freedom, P = 0.0002).
| Discussion |
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We found a substantially increased risk of NHL in relatives of cases with aggressive NHL compared with relatives of all NHL cases (or compared with relatives of indolent NHL cases) in both populations. This finding is consistent with Vachon et al. (29) who reported that familial NHL cases were more likely to have an aggressive subtype than were sporadic NHL cases. Pottern et al. (5) found a significantly elevated risk of diffuse NHL among subjects who had a sibling with lymphoma in an earlier case-control study of lymphoproliferative malignancies conducted in Iowa and Minnesota. In contrast, a recent multicenter U.S. case-control study of NHL in the state of Iowa and in metropolitan regions of Los Angeles, Seattle, and Detroit found an increased risk of NHL in relatives of cases with follicular lymphoma cases but not in relatives of cases with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (7). A restricted analysis of the last 10 years in Sweden showed evidence of parent-offspring concordance for NHL subtypes, but the numbers were extremely small (11). If the increased familial risk of aggressive tumors is confirmed, then this has important implications for design of genetic studies.
Early age at diagnosis of cancer is often found to distinguish subtypes with higher genetic susceptibility. In our samples, age at diagnosis of the NHL case was not a strong or consistent predictor of risk in relatives. In Sweden, there was a higher risk of NHL among relatives of cases diagnosed at age
65 years, which was not significant but is consistent with other reports in the literature (6, 7, 9). We found no difference in age at diagnosis of those relatives who developed NHL among NHL cases versus controls and no clustering of childhood onset NHL in relatives of cases (data not shown). Other investigators have reported that there is anticipation (earlier age at diagnosis of NHL in offspring than in their parents who developed NHL) in age at diagnosis of NHL in high risk families (30). We recently analyzed our data for anticipation and found that after taking into account secular trends in incidence rates of NHL, there was no evidence for earlier age at diagnosis in offspring compared with parents (31).
Our sample had a highly skewed gender distribution of NHL-NHL sib pairs with an excess of female-female pairs and a shortage of mixed gender pairs. There have been reports of increased sex concordance of sib pairs with Hodgkin lymphoma (19) and CLL (20) and some have speculated that some of this excess could be due to genes in the pseudoautosomal region of the X chromosome (32, 33). Despite our large samples of relatives, the numbers of sib pairs with NHL was small; thus, further studies are needed to confirm the observed increased gender concordance.
The Swedish Family-Cancer Database is known to be incomplete for individuals born before 1991 (13). To eliminate this possible survivor bias in estimates of familial aggregation, we repeated the analysis of NHL in relatives of Swedish cases compared with controls based only on outcomes from 1991 and later. The RR was very close to that computed when all the data were included and was highly significant (results not shown). This should not be a bias in Denmark, because our cases were ascertained starting at the same time (1968) that the CPR began to register offspring and parent linkages. It is encouraging that despite the changes over time in definition and classification of NHL, there is strong evidence of familial aggregation regardless of the time period considered.
As large-scale genomic studies have become feasible, there is the opportunity to identify genes from pathways likely to be relevant to lymphoma development and then test for associations of these gene polymorphisms with NHL in case-control studies. For example, some associations between gene polymorphisms involved in immune function (34) and DNA repair (35) and risk of NHL have been reported. This is an exciting emerging area of research, but because the number of potential candidates is large, findings may be hard to replicate. Given the significant familial aggregation of NHL and related conditions, a complementary approach to detecting susceptibility genes would be to conduct whole genome linkage studies in samples of high-risk families.
The clinical significance of increased risk to relatives is modest but not trivial. The lifetime risk of NHL based on the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results data is 2.1% (1). The RRs we found (Table 2) predict a risk of 3.6% for NHL and a 5% risk for any lymphoproliferative malignancy in first-degree relatives of NHL cases. The lifetime risk for NHL may be even higher if the case proband had an aggressive NHL, but only a small proportion of our samples of cases could be classified into subtypes.
In conclusion, our data quantify the small yet important familial component of NHL, which also encompasses other B-cell malignancies. In addition to this broad familial aggregation, we found that aggressive histologic subtypes of NHL are associated with a higher degree of familial risk.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Note: The Swedish Family-Cancer Database was created by linked registers maintained at Statistics Sweden and the Swedish Cancer Registry.
Received 5/12/05; revised 7/15/05; accepted 8/11/05.
| References |
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